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Guarani de Palhoca vs Nacao Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca Logo

Guarani de Palhoca

0 - 0
FT
Nacao Logo

Nacao

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Guarani de Palhoca
35%
Draws
13%
Nacao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guarani de Palhoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guarani de Palhoca lately — more wins on the board than Nacao.
  • Win probability leans Guarani de Palhoca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Guarani de Palhoca Clean Sheet 68%
Nacao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani de Palhoca Nacao
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.47 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.64 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Nacao
0:0
May 3, 2026 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs Guarani de Palhoca
1:0
Aug 19, 2023 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs Guarani de Palhoca
1:1
Aug 13, 2023 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Nacao
0:0
Jun 18, 2023 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs Guarani de Palhoca
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Palhoca 95 / 100
Nacao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani de Palhoca Nacao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani de Palhoca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani de Palhoca scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Nacao let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Guarani de Palhoca remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Nacao has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarani de Palhoca VS Nacao
2.14 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani de Palhoca

(Home)
25 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Guarani de Palhoca
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1
Blumenau
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Gremio Juventus
1 : 0
Guarani de Palhoca
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Nacao

(Away)
26 Sept
Hercilio Luz
2 : 1
Nacao
23 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3
Nacao
19 Sept
Nacao
0 : 4
Joinville
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0
Nacao
06 Sept
Nacao
2 : 2
Santa Catarina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)