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Guarani de Palhoca vs Blumenau

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Wellisson
62' Event
Flavinho

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Guarani de Palhoca and Blumenau finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Guarani de Palhoca
44%
Draws
20%
Blumenau
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Blumenau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Blumenau here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Guarani de Palhoca Clean Sheet 16%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani de Palhoca Blumenau
Matches Played 27 35
Wins 9 20
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Blumenau
1:1
May 27, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Guarani de Palhoca
2:0
Jun 30, 2024 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Guarani de Palhoca
2:1
Jun 4, 2022 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Blumenau
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani de Palhoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Flavinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Blumenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Wellisson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Palhoca 36 / 100
Blumenau 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani de Palhoca Blumenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani de Palhoca found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Blumenau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Guarani de Palhoca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani de Palhoca VS Blumenau
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz15112231:935
2CA Metropolitano16102431:1832
3Caravaggio1694344:1931
4Blumenau1583431:1227
5Tubarao1565422:1523
6Fluminense-SC1553714:1818
7Nacao1646616:2418
8Guarani de Palhoca1544714:2316
9Gremio Juventus1542913:2114
10Jaragua-SC1601156:631