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Stadium Background

Guarani-MG vs Coimbra Esporte Clube

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mineiro 3 2023 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Guarani-MG
30%
Draws
29%
Coimbra Esporte Clube
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani-MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Coimbra Esporte Clube have won more games recently than Guarani-MG.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Guarani-MG taking it.
  • Coimbra Esporte Clube arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 20%
Coimbra Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani-MG Coimbra Esporte Clube
Matches Played 31 39
Wins 14 17
Draws 7 13
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.39 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2023 Mineiro 3
Guarani-MG vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
1:1
Oct 29, 2023 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Guarani-MG
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani-MG 49 / 100
Coimbra Esporte Clube 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani-MG Coimbra Esporte Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani-MG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coimbra Esporte Clube's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 39 matches.

Guarani-MG went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Guarani-MG's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Guarani-MG VS Coimbra Esporte Clube
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani-MG

(Home)
12 Jul
Guarani-MG
2 : 4
Boa
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Mamore
2 : 2
Guarani-MG
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Uberaba
2 : 1
Guarani-MG
Page 1 of 7

Coimbra Esporte Clube

(Away)
11 Jul
Ipatinga
3 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 1
Villa Nova AC
27 Jun
Democrata SL
1 : 0
Coimbra Esporte Clube
24 Jun
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Aymores
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Valeriodoce 1
Contagem 0
Pocos de Caldas 1
America TO 5
Mamore 3
Araxa 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube 1
Guarani-MG 1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce 4
America TO 3
Mamore 5
Guarani-MG 4
Final
Valeriodoce 2
Mamore 3