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Guarani-MG vs Formiga EC

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Campeonato Mineiro 2 2010
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AI Match Summary

Guarani-MG in this Campeonato Mineiro 2 2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarani-MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guarani-MG
6%
Draws
4%
Formiga EC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guarani-MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarani-MG have won more games recently than Formiga EC.
  • Model gives Guarani-MG a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Mineiro 2 2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 20%
Formiga EC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani-MG Formiga EC
Matches Played 42 35
Wins 21 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2017 Mineiro 2
Formiga EC vs Guarani-MG
0:3
Mar 1, 2017 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs Formiga EC
3:0
May 1, 2010 Mineiro 2
Formiga EC vs Guarani-MG
1:1
Apr 24, 2010 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs Formiga EC
1:0
Mar 27, 2010 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs Formiga EC
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani-MG 85 / 100
Formiga EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani-MG Formiga EC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Formiga EC conceded in 86% of 35 recent games.

Formiga EC's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Guarani-MG stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani-MG VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%