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Guarani U20 vs Sfera U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guarani U20 play Sfera U20 in the Paulista U20. Guarani U20 are favorites here. Recently, Guarani U20 averaged 1.79 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. Sfera U20 averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Guarani U20 won 1, Sfera U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 3, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Guarani U20 and 1.25 for Sfera U20. This points to a Guarani U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Guarani U20
15%
Draws
22%
Sfera U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarani U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarani U20 picked up more points recently compared to Sfera U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Guarani U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Sfera U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani U20 Sfera U20
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 23 10
Draws 2 3
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.79 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Paulista U20
Guarani U20 vs Sfera U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caua Wendel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luiz Guilherme
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sfera U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani U20 61 / 100
Sfera U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani U20 Sfera U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Guarani U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guarani U20 attacking → ← attacking Sfera U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani U20 scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Sfera U20 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Guarani U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sfera U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

71 Points in last 5 33
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ferroviaria U20541010:113
2CA Juventus U20540115:512
3Santos U20532010:011
4Corinthians U2043104:010
5Portuguesa U2042117:47
6Ponte Preta U2052125:67
7Portuguesa Santista U2052129:117
8Sertaozinho U2052123:57
9Jabaquara U2052033:46
10Sao Bento U2051135:74
11Uniao Suzano U2051134:134
12Itapirense U2051046:113
13America SP U2051041:103
14Mirassol U2050234:92
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ibrachina U20550015:215
2Sao Paulo U20541010:113
3Osasco Sporting U2054019:612
4Desportivo U2054016:312
5Aguai U2062227:118
6Santo Andre U2062138:87
7Uniao Sao Joao U2061325:56
8Paulinense U2061326:86
9Novorizontino U2051227:65
10EC Sao Bernardo U2051225:95
11Sao Caetano U2061147:124
12Bandeirante U2061144:104
13Botafogo SP U2050415:64
14Piracicaba U2050414:64
15Velo Clube U2060424:94
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U20541011:213
2Bragantino U20440012:412
3Guarani U2054019:512
4Agua Santa U20632113:711
5Gremio Prudente U2063129:810
6Sfera U20630314:69
7Osasco Audax U2062226:58
8XV de Jau U2052124:67
9Capivariano U2061417:87
10Flamengo SP U2062045:126
11Ituano U2051316:86
12Tanabi U2061237:115
13Maua FC U2061234:115
14Referencia U2050144:111
15Porto Football U2050140:71