Sport Picks
Match Events
40'
40'
Luiz Guilherme
43'
43'
Tarso F.
85'
85'
Artur
AI Match Summary
The Paulista U20 game between Guarani U20 and XV de Jau U20 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarani U20.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
69%
15%
16%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarani U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Guarani U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Guarani U20 a 69% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Guarani U20 Clean Sheet 20%
XV de Jau U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarani U20 | XV de Jau U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 31 |
| Wins | 25 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.91 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Paulista U20
Guarani U20 vs XV de Jau U20
3:0
Jan 15, 2026 Copinha
XV de Jau U20 vs Guarani U20
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 Paulista U20
XV de Jau U20 vs Guarani U20
1:2
Jan 3, 2020 Copinha
XV de Jau U20 vs Guarani U20
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarani U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Luiz Guilherme
1 Goals Assists Leader Tarso F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
XV de Jau U20 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guarani U20 85 / 100
XV de Jau U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guarani U20 XV de Jau U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guarani U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guarani U20's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
XV de Jau U20 let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
Guarani U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Guarani U20 VS XV de Jau U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Guarani U20
(Home) 25 Sept
Guarani U20
4 : 1 Uniao Suzano U20
18 Sept
Uniao Suzano U20
1 : 1 Guarani U20
12 Sept
Gremio Prudente U20
1 : 5 Guarani U20
04 Sept
Guarani U20
3 : 0 XV de Jau U20
21 Aug
Guarani U20
2 : 1 Ituano U20
Page 1 of 7
25 Sept
Guarani U20
4 : 1 Uniao Suzano U20
04 Sept
Guarani U20
3 : 0 XV de Jau U20
21 Aug
Guarani U20
2 : 1 Ituano U20
07 Aug
Guarani U20
2 : 0 Agua Santa U20
24 Jul
Guarani U20
1 : 0 Tanabi U20
Page 1 of 3
XV de Jau U20
(Away) 25 Sept
Corinthians U20
2 : 0 XV de Jau U20
21 Sept
XV de Jau U20
2 : 3 Corinthians U20
12 Sept
XV de Jau U20
2 : 1 Osasco Audax U20
04 Sept
Guarani U20
3 : 0 XV de Jau U20
21 Aug
XV de Jau U20
0 : 1 Porto Football U20
Page 1 of 7
25 Sept
Corinthians U20
2 : 0 XV de Jau U20
04 Sept
Guarani U20
3 : 0 XV de Jau U20
14 Aug
Palmeiras U20
3 : 0 XV de Jau U20
07 Aug
Sfera U20
2 : 1 XV de Jau U20
24 Jul
Gremio Prudente U20
1 : 1 XV de Jau U20
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santos U20 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32:5 | 32 |
| 2 | Corinthians U20 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 29:3 | 32 |
| 3 | CA Juventus U20 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 35:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Ferroviaria U20 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21:9 | 25 |
| 5 | Portuguesa U20 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 25 |
| 6 | Sertaozinho U20 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 19 |
| 7 | Portuguesa Santista U20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 8 | Ponte Preta U20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:29 | 15 |
| 9 | Uniao Suzano U20 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:21 | 14 |
| 10 | Jabaquara U20 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Itapirense U20 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 14:29 | 10 |
| 12 | America SP U20 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 8:31 | 9 |
| 13 | Sao Bento U20 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Mirassol U20 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12:21 | 8 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ibrachina U20 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 34:8 | 34 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo U20 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 23:4 | 33 |
| 3 | Novorizontino U20 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Santo Andre U20 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22:16 | 22 |
| 5 | Desportivo U20 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 6 | Osasco Sporting U20 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 21 |
| 7 | Botafogo SP U20 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 24:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Piracicaba U20 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 12:9 | 19 |
| 9 | EC Sao Bernardo U20 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Paulinense U20 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 11 | CA Bandeirante U20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:26 | 12 |
| 12 | Uniao Sao Joao U20 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 13 | Sao Caetano U20 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:25 | 11 |
| 14 | Velo Clube U20 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6:24 | 11 |
| 15 | Aguai U20 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:37 | 8 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bragantino U20 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 61:9 | 39 |
| 2 | Palmeiras U20 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 29:7 | 35 |
| 3 | Guarani U20 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 28:11 | 34 |
| 4 | Sfera U20 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 5 | Osasco Audax U20 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:13 | 22 |
| 6 | Agua Santa U20 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 21 |
| 7 | Capivariano U20 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 8 | Flamengo SP U20 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | 17 |
| 9 | XV de Jau U20 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:26 | 17 |
| 10 | Gremio Prudente U20 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:25 | 16 |
| 11 | Ituano U20 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Referencia U20 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11:21 | 13 |
| 13 | Maua FC U20 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7:28 | 9 |
| 14 | Tanabi U20 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11:37 | 9 |
| 15 | Porto Football U20 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6:27 | 7 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)
