Sport Picks
Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Rogelio Livieres, Asunción 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Nacional Asuncion have shipped 0.86 goals a game lately, while Guarani have conceded 0.86 and scored 0.97. Head-to-head, Guarani have won 1 to Nacional Asuncion's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.63 - 1.19) back Nacional Asuncion to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Nacional Asuncion lately — more wins on the board than Guarani.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Nacional Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nacional Asuncion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarani | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Guarani remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Guarani found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Nacional Asuncion let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Guarani
(Home)Nacional Asuncion
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
