Sport Picks
Match Events
41'
41'
Ledesma A.
45'
45'
Gimenez C.
Assist: Cabanas V.
46'
46'
Sub
Ledesma A. In: Leiva T.
Out: Ledesma A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Guarani have won more games recently than Rubio Nu.
- Guarani are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Guarani have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Rubio Nu, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Guarani Clean Sheet 68%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarani | Rubio Nu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Rubio Nu
2:3
Apr 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Guarani
0:2
Feb 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Rubio Nu
4:0
Nov 12, 2017 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Sep 1, 2017 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Guarani
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarani Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Anasco M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Rubio Nu Compare
Top Goalscorer Gimenez C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Blasi B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guarani 86 / 100
Rubio Nu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guarani Rubio Nu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guarani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rubio Nu has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Guarani stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Guarani scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Guarani VS Rubio Nu
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Guarani
(Home) 03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
30 Aug
Guarani
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
15 Aug
Guarani
2 : 3 Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 4
Rubio Nu
(Away) 06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Rubio Nu
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2 2 de Mayo
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Rubio Nu
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
06 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
4 : 2 Rubio Nu
28 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
