Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarani vs Rubio Nu

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Rogelio Livieres, Asunción
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Guarani at 1.29 goals for, 0.94 against; Rubio Nu at 0.92 for, 1.17 against. Past meetings favor Guarani slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 0.69) point toward Guarani. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Guarani
15%
Draws
8%
Rubio Nu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarani average 1.29 goals a game right now, well clear of Rubio Nu's 0.92.
  • Guarani are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarani, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Guarani have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Guarani Clean Sheet 20%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani Rubio Nu
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.29 0.92
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Guarani
0:2
Feb 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Rubio Nu
4:0
Nov 12, 2017 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Sep 1, 2017 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Guarani
0:1
Jun 18, 2017 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Rubio Nu
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani 85 / 100
Rubio Nu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani Rubio Nu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Rubio Nu has conceded goals in 61% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Guarani has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarani VS Rubio Nu
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani

(Home)
02 Aug
Guarani
2 : 1
Libertad Asuncion
30 Jul
San Lorenzo
0 : 1
Guarani
26 Jul
Guarani
1 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
23 May
Recoleta
2 : 1
Guarani
16 May
Guarani
1 : 0
Sportivo Ameliano
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Rubio Nu

(Away)
07 Aug
Rubio Nu
1 : 3
Recoleta
02 Aug
Olimpia Asuncion
5 : 0
Rubio Nu
28 Jul
Rubio Nu
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
24 Jul
2 de Mayo
1 : 0
Rubio Nu
24 May
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0
Rubio Nu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 2 de Mayo 4 3 1 0 5:2 10
2 Sportivo Trinidense 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
3 Recoleta 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
4 Guarani 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
5 Sportivo Ameliano 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Libertad Asuncion 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
7 Nacional Asuncion 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
8 Olimpia Asuncion 4 1 0 3 5:4 3
9 Cerro Porteno 4 1 0 3 5:5 3
10 Sp. Luqueno 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
11 San Lorenzo 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
12 Rubio Nu 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)