Sport Picks
Guarani vs San Lorenzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Rogelio Livieres, Asunción 
Match Events
2'
2'
Meza Montiel D.
5'
5'
Allende L.
11'
11'
Martinez L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guarani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Guarani lately — more wins on the board than San Lorenzo.
- Win probability leans Guarani's way, sitting at 80%.
- Guarani have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Guarani, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Guarani Clean Sheet 68%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarani | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs San Lorenzo
1:1
Jul 30, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Guarani
0:1
Apr 10, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Guarani
1:0
Feb 13, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs San Lorenzo
3:1
Nov 16, 2020 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarani Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
San Lorenzo Compare
Top Goalscorer Aragon F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guarani 86 / 100
San Lorenzo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guarani San Lorenzo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guarani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guarani went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Guarani's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
San Lorenzo let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Guarani VS San Lorenzo
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Guarani
(Home) 03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
30 Aug
Guarani
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
15 Aug
Guarani
2 : 3 Rubio Nu
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San Lorenzo
(Away) 03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1 4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
01 Sept
Rubio Nu
3 : 1 San Lorenzo
24 Aug
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
16 Aug
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
