Sport Picks
Guarany de Bage vs Brasil de Pelotas
Brazil
Copa FGF Estádio Estrela d'Alva, Bage 
Match Events
26'
26'
Marcos Paulo
42'
42'
Gabriel Morbeck
(Penalty)
66'
66'
Venicio
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Copa FGF tie, finishing 3-3. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Brasil de Pelotas lately — more wins on the board than Guarany de Bage.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Brasil de Pelotas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Guarany de Bage, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Guarany de Bage Clean Sheet 14%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarany de Bage | Brasil de Pelotas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.86 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.71 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 17, 2026 Copa FGF
Guarany de Bage vs Brasil de Pelotas
3:3
May 13, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs Guarany de Bage
2:0
Jun 29, 2025 Serie D
Guarany de Bage vs Brasil de Pelotas
1:0
May 18, 2025 Serie D
Brasil de Pelotas vs Guarany de Bage
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 Gaucho
Brasil de Pelotas vs Guarany de Bage
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarany de Bage Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcos Paulo
1 Goals Assists Leader Hiago Lucas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43
Brasil de Pelotas Compare
Top Goalscorer Venicio
1 Goals Assists Leader Denis Germano
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guarany de Bage 31 / 100
Brasil de Pelotas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guarany de Bage Brasil de Pelotas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Brasil de Pelotas conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Guarany de Bage has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Guarany de Bage scored in 47% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Guarany de Bage VS Brasil de Pelotas
0.86 Goals Scored 1.5
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Guarany de Bage
(Home) 17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3 Brasil de Pelotas
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2 Guarany de Bage
07 Jun
Guarany de Bage
0 : 1 Cianorte
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1 Guarany de Bage
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0 Guarany de Bage
Page 1 of 6
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3 Brasil de Pelotas
07 Jun
Guarany de Bage
0 : 1 Cianorte
27 May
Guarany de Bage
0 : 0 Farroupilha
24 May
Guarany de Bage
0 : 4 FC Cascavel
20 May
Guarany de Bage
0 : 1 GE Bage
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Brasil de Pelotas
(Away) 23 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 2 Gramadense
12 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 0 Brasil de Pelotas
04 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0 Santa Cruz RS
27 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1 Brasil de Pelotas
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3 Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 0 Brasil de Pelotas
27 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1 Brasil de Pelotas
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3 Brasil de Pelotas
07 Jun
Azuriz
1 : 1 Brasil de Pelotas
04 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 1 Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gramadense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz RS | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Monsoon | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 4 | Brasil de Farroupilha | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brasil de Pelotas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 2 | GE Bage | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Guarany de Bage | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Farroupilha | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)
