Sport Picks

Brazil

Cearense 2

Guarany SC

1 - 0

Atletico Cearense

Our Tip

Match Events

64'

Costa D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 game between Guarany SC and Atletico Cearense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Guarany SC

11%

Draws

Atletico Cearense

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Guarany SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Atletico Cearense haven't matched Guarany SC's recent run of results.
80% — that's where the model lands on Guarany SC taking it.
Regular Cearense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Guarany SC Clean Sheet 68%

Atletico Cearense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guarany SC	Atletico Cearense
Matches Played	17	30
Wins	6	4
Draws	5	11
Losses	6	15
Goals Scored	1.67	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.67	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.33	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Cearense 2

Guarany SC vs Atletico Cearense

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Mar 22, 2026 Cearense 2

Atletico Cearense vs Guarany SC

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarany SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.28

Avg xA / game 0.83

Atletico Cearense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany SC 86 / 100

Atletico Cearense 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guarany SC Atletico Cearense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Cearense has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Guarany SC scored in 65% of their last 17 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Guarany SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarany SC VS Atletico Cearense

1.67 Goals Scored 0.63

1.33 Goals Conceded 1.38

67% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 13%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Icasa	8	5	1	2	14:7	16
2	Crato	8	4	3	1	8:5	15
3	Cariri FC	8	2	2	4	6:7	8
4	Barbalha	8	2	2	4	4:8	8
5	Guarani de Juazeiro	8	2	2	4	6:11	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Itapipoca	8	5	0	3	11:10	15
2	Crateus	8	4	1	3	10:4	13
3	Guarany SC	8	4	1	3	12:8	13
4	Caucaia	8	3	2	3	9:14	11
5	Atletico Cearense	8	0	4	4	6:12	4