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Guarany SC vs Crateus

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3 2025
Guarany SC Logo

Guarany SC

2 - 0
FT
Crateus Logo

Crateus

Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Yuri
85' Event
Aldair
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 3 2025 game between Guarany SC and Crateus finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Guarany SC
15%
Draws
45%
Crateus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crateus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crateus come out ahead of Guarany SC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Guarany SC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Cearense 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Guarany SC Clean Sheet 20%
Crateus Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany SC Crateus
Matches Played 17 19
Wins 6 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.12 1
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Cearense 2
Crateus vs Guarany SC
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarany SC vs Crateus
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Cearense 3
Crateus vs Guarany SC
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 Cearense 3
Guarany SC vs Crateus
0:0
Jul 20, 2025 Cearense 3
Crateus vs Guarany SC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarany SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuri
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Crateus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany SC 40 / 100
Crateus 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany SC Crateus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarany SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarany SC's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Solid form: Guarany SC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Crateus has conceded goals in 42% of their last 19 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Guarany SC VS Crateus
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany SC

(Home)
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
21 Apr
Guarany SC
1 : 0
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 4

Crateus

(Away)
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
20 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Cariri FC
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
29 Apr
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Crateus
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crateus 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Guarany SC 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Vila Real 6 2 2 2 5:3 8
4 Esporte Limoeiro 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Cearense 3 2025 (Play Offs)