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Stadium Background

Guarany SC vs Crateus

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Alex

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 game between Guarany SC and Crateus finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Guarany SC
15%
Draws
45%
Crateus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crateus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crateus come out ahead of Guarany SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Guarany SC a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cearense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Guarany SC Clean Sheet 68%
Crateus Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany SC Crateus
Matches Played 17 19
Wins 6 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.12 1
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Cearense 2
Crateus vs Guarany SC
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarany SC vs Crateus
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Cearense 3
Crateus vs Guarany SC
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 Cearense 3
Guarany SC vs Crateus
0:0
Jul 20, 2025 Cearense 3
Crateus vs Guarany SC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarany SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Alex
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Crateus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany SC 50 / 100
Crateus 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany SC Crateus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarany SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarany SC's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Guarany SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Crateus has conceded goals in 42% of their last 19 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Guarany SC VS Crateus
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany SC

(Home)
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
21 Apr
Guarany SC
1 : 0
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 4

Crateus

(Away)
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
20 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Cariri FC
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
29 Apr
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Crateus
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)