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Guarany SE vs America de Propria

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano game between Guarany SE and America de Propria finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Guarany SE
15%
Draws
0%
America de Propria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarany SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guarany SE come out ahead of America de Propria on wins alone.
  • Guarany SE are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Guarany SE Clean Sheet 68%
America de Propria Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany SE America de Propria
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Copa Governo (Sergipe)
America de Propria vs Guarany SE
2:3
Jan 25, 2026 Sergipano
Guarany SE vs America de Propria
0:0
Mar 5, 2025 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Guarany SE
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Guarany SE
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany SE 59 / 100
America de Propria 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany SE America de Propria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarany SE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: America de Propria has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Guarany SE found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

America de Propria has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarany SE VS America de Propria
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany SE

(Home)
13 Aug
Guarany SE
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
08 Aug
America de Propria
2 : 3
Guarany SE
05 Aug
Lagarto
2 : 0
Guarany SE
01 Aug
Guarany SE
1 : 1
Atletico Gloriense
29 Jul
Falcon
3 : 0
Guarany SE
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America de Propria

(Away)
13 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0
America de Propria
08 Aug
America de Propria
2 : 3
Guarany SE
05 Aug
America de Propria
1 : 5
Atletico Gloriense
01 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 2
America de Propria
29 Jul
America de Propria
0 : 1
Lagarto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sergipe 9 6 2 1 13:6 20
2 Itabaiana 9 5 2 2 12:4 17
3 Lagarto 9 4 4 1 16:8 16
4 Confianca 9 4 3 2 10:6 15
5 Guarany SE 9 3 3 3 10:10 12
6 America de Propria 9 2 6 1 8:8 12
7 Falcon 9 3 2 4 8:10 11
8 Atletico Gloriense 9 3 1 5 14:13 10
9 Dorense 9 2 1 6 9:23 7
10 Desportiva Aracaju 9 0 2 7 5:17 2
Promotion - Sergipano (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sergipano (Play Offs)