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Guarany SE vs Boca Junior - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Guarany SE Logo

Guarany SE

3 - 0
FT
Boca Junior Logo

Boca Junior

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Guarany SE and Boca Junior finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany SE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Guarany SE
15%
Draws
0%
Boca Junior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarany SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarany SE carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Guarany SE's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Guarany SE Clean Sheet 20%
Boca Junior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany SE Boca Junior
Matches Played 36 35
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.44 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.44 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 Sergipano 2
Guarany SE vs Boca Junior
3:0
Feb 10, 2019 Sergipano
Guarany SE vs Boca Junior
1:1
Feb 11, 2016 Sergipano
Boca Junior vs Guarany SE
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany SE 85 / 100
Boca Junior 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany SE Boca Junior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarany SE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boca Junior's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 35 matches.

Away concern: Boca Junior has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Guarany SE found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (36 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Guarany SE VS Boca Junior
1.13 Goals Scored 0.2
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany SE

(Home)
13 Aug
Guarany SE
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
08 Aug
America de Propria
2 : 3
Guarany SE
05 Aug
Lagarto
2 : 0
Guarany SE
01 Aug
Guarany SE
1 : 1
Atletico Gloriense
29 Jul
Falcon
3 : 0
Guarany SE
Page 1 of 8

Boca Junior

(Away)
01 Nov
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Olimpico EC
25 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Caninde
18 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
1 : 0
Boca Junior
15 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Atletico Gloriense
11 Oct
Frei Paulistano
5 : 1
Boca Junior
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 5 4 1 0 14:2 13
2 America de Pedrinhas 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
3 Desportiva Aracaju 5 4 0 1 16:5 12
4 Frei Paulistano 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
5 Flamengo SE 5 0 1 4 3:16 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra SE 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
2 Atletico Central 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
3 Independente SE 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
4 Boca Junior 5 1 1 3 7:12 4
5 Caninde 5 1 0 4 8:20 3
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Play Offs)