Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Sergipano 2025 game between Guarany SE and Carmopolis finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany SE.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Guarany SE carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Sergipano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarany SE | Carmopolis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 20 |
| Wins | 11 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarany SE Compare
Carmopolis Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carmopolis has conceded goals in 75% of their last 20 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Carmopolis's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Guarany SE found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Guarany SE
(Home)Carmopolis
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Confianca | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 26:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Itabaiana | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 18:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Lagarto | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:8 | 17 |
| 4 | America de Propria | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Guarany SE | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:19 | 13 |
| 6 | Falcon | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Sergipe | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 8 | Dorense | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 9 | Barra SE | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:27 | 7 |
| 10 | Carmopolis | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | 3 |
