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Guarany vs Imperatriz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Maranhao Jonhs
85' Event
Aricrys

AI Match Summary

The Serie D 2021 game between Guarany and Imperatriz finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Guarany
30%
Draws
47%
Imperatriz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Imperatriz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarany carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Guarany Clean Sheet 23%
Imperatriz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany Imperatriz
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 12
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.1 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2021 Serie D
Guarany vs Imperatriz
1:1
Jul 10, 2021 Serie D
Imperatriz vs Guarany
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarany Compare

Top Goalscorer Aricrys
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Imperatriz Compare

Top Goalscorer Maranhao Jonhs
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany 37 / 100
Imperatriz 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany Imperatriz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imperatriz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarany found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Imperatriz let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Guarany stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Imperatriz
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany

(Home)
03 Oct
Guarany
0 : 2
Campinense
25 Sept
Campinense
2 : 1
Guarany
20 Sept
Guarany
2 : 0
Galvez
13 Sept
Galvez
0 : 0
Guarany
04 Sept
Paragominas
2 : 1
Guarany
Page 1 of 6

Imperatriz

(Away)
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0
Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Ferroviario
27 Jun
Maracana
0 : 1
Imperatriz
20 Jun
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Maracana
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0
Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castanhal 14 11 3 0 33:11 36
2 Sao Raimundo RR 14 8 5 1 28:11 29
3 Penarol 14 7 3 4 23:14 24
4 Galvez 14 7 1 6 22:24 22
5 Fast Clube 14 3 6 5 21:20 15
6 Ypiranga AP 14 3 4 7 13:22 13
7 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 14 2 3 9 12:29 9
8 Acreano 14 2 1 11 14:35 7
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany 14 9 1 4 24:16 28
2 Julho Esporte 14 7 3 4 18:11 24
3 Paragominas 14 6 5 3 26:19 23
4 Moto Club 14 6 3 5 20:19 21
5 Palmas 14 5 3 6 19:17 18
6 Imperatriz 14 3 8 3 14:17 17
7 SE Juventude 14 3 5 6 13:21 14
8 Tocantinopolis 14 1 4 9 17:31 7
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ABC 14 9 1 4 30:13 28
2 Campinense 14 7 4 3 23:12 25
3 America RN 14 6 4 4 25:20 22
4 Atletico Cearense 14 6 3 5 22:20 21
5 Sousa 14 4 4 6 16:18 16
6 Central SC 14 3 6 5 13:17 15
7 Treze PB 14 2 9 3 18:16 15
8 Caucaia 14 2 3 9 20:51 9
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juazeirense 14 7 6 1 18:9 27
2 Itabaiana 14 7 5 2 22:13 26
3 Sergipe 14 6 5 3 16:8 23
4 Retro 14 4 8 2 17:14 20
5 Alagoinhas 14 4 6 4 15:17 18
6 Bahia de Feira 14 3 6 5 18:20 15
7 ASA 14 3 3 8 12:22 12
8 Murici 14 1 3 10 14:29 6
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aparecidense 14 8 4 2 19:8 28
2 Nova Mutum EC 14 8 3 3 18:11 27
3 Uniao Rondonopolis 14 7 3 4 21:15 24
4 Brasiliense 14 6 3 5 22:14 21
5 Goianesia 14 5 6 3 15:14 21
6 Porto Velho 14 2 7 5 10:16 13
7 Gama 14 2 6 6 13:18 12
8 Jaragua 14 1 2 11 6:28 5
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 14 10 3 1 24:5 33
2 Boa 14 6 6 2 20:11 24
3 Uberlandia 14 6 5 3 21:15 23
4 Caldense 14 6 3 5 26:19 21
5 Rio Branco-VN 14 5 6 3 18:13 21
6 Rio Branco ES 14 4 3 7 17:22 15
7 Patrocinense 14 1 4 9 9:22 7
8 Aguia Negra 14 1 4 9 13:41 7
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa 14 6 6 2 20:12 24
2 Santo Andre 14 6 3 5 16:13 21
3 Cianorte 14 4 8 2 12:9 20
4 Bangu 14 5 4 5 14:16 19
5 Internacional de Limeira 14 5 4 5 11:14 19
6 Boavista 14 5 3 6 11:13 18
7 Sao Bento 14 3 5 6 10:13 14
8 Madureira 14 3 5 6 12:16 14
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Joinville 14 7 7 0 17:6 28
2 FC Cascavel 14 7 6 1 27:17 27
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 4 6 4 15:13 18
4 SER Caxias do Sul 14 4 6 4 15:13 18
5 Gremio Juventus 14 4 6 4 12:11 18
6 Marcilio Dias 14 4 6 4 13:17 18
7 Aimore 14 3 3 8 15:18 12
8 Rio Branco PR 14 1 4 9 8:27 7
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)