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Guarany vs Palmas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Alex
45'
Nascimento R.
66' Event
Gabriel Joao

AI Match Summary

The Serie D 2021 game between Guarany and Palmas finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Guarany
30%
Draws
39%
Palmas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Palmas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Palmas's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what Guarany have produced (1.1).
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Guarany taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Guarany Clean Sheet 68%
Palmas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany Palmas
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2021 Serie D
Palmas vs Guarany
0:2
Jun 19, 2021 Serie D
Guarany vs Palmas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarany Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Joao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andre Mascena
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Palmas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael Gladiator
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany 77 / 100
Palmas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany Palmas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarany Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarany's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Palmas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Guarany stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Palmas
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany

(Home)
03 Oct
Guarany
0 : 2
Campinense
25 Sept
Campinense
2 : 1
Guarany
20 Sept
Guarany
2 : 0
Galvez
13 Sept
Galvez
0 : 0
Guarany
04 Sept
Paragominas
2 : 1
Guarany
Page 1 of 6

Palmas

(Away)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castanhal 14 11 3 0 33:11 36
2 Sao Raimundo RR 14 8 5 1 28:11 29
3 Penarol 14 7 3 4 23:14 24
4 Galvez 14 7 1 6 22:24 22
5 Fast Clube 14 3 6 5 21:20 15
6 Ypiranga AP 14 3 4 7 13:22 13
7 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 14 2 3 9 12:29 9
8 Acreano 14 2 1 11 14:35 7
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany 14 9 1 4 24:16 28
2 Julho Esporte 14 7 3 4 18:11 24
3 Paragominas 14 6 5 3 26:19 23
4 Moto Club 14 6 3 5 20:19 21
5 Palmas 14 5 3 6 19:17 18
6 Imperatriz 14 3 8 3 14:17 17
7 SE Juventude 14 3 5 6 13:21 14
8 Tocantinopolis 14 1 4 9 17:31 7
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ABC 14 9 1 4 30:13 28
2 Campinense 14 7 4 3 23:12 25
3 America RN 14 6 4 4 25:20 22
4 Atletico Cearense 14 6 3 5 22:20 21
5 Sousa 14 4 4 6 16:18 16
6 Central SC 14 3 6 5 13:17 15
7 Treze PB 14 2 9 3 18:16 15
8 Caucaia 14 2 3 9 20:51 9
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juazeirense 14 7 6 1 18:9 27
2 Itabaiana 14 7 5 2 22:13 26
3 Sergipe 14 6 5 3 16:8 23
4 Retro 14 4 8 2 17:14 20
5 Alagoinhas 14 4 6 4 15:17 18
6 Bahia de Feira 14 3 6 5 18:20 15
7 ASA 14 3 3 8 12:22 12
8 Murici 14 1 3 10 14:29 6
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aparecidense 14 8 4 2 19:8 28
2 Nova Mutum EC 14 8 3 3 18:11 27
3 Uniao Rondonopolis 14 7 3 4 21:15 24
4 Brasiliense 14 6 3 5 22:14 21
5 Goianesia 14 5 6 3 15:14 21
6 Porto Velho 14 2 7 5 10:16 13
7 Gama 14 2 6 6 13:18 12
8 Jaragua 14 1 2 11 6:28 5
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 14 10 3 1 24:5 33
2 Boa 14 6 6 2 20:11 24
3 Uberlandia 14 6 5 3 21:15 23
4 Caldense 14 6 3 5 26:19 21
5 Rio Branco-VN 14 5 6 3 18:13 21
6 Rio Branco ES 14 4 3 7 17:22 15
7 Patrocinense 14 1 4 9 9:22 7
8 Aguia Negra 14 1 4 9 13:41 7
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa 14 6 6 2 20:12 24
2 Santo Andre 14 6 3 5 16:13 21
3 Cianorte 14 4 8 2 12:9 20
4 Bangu 14 5 4 5 14:16 19
5 Internacional de Limeira 14 5 4 5 11:14 19
6 Boavista 14 5 3 6 11:13 18
7 Sao Bento 14 3 5 6 10:13 14
8 Madureira 14 3 5 6 12:16 14
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Joinville 14 7 7 0 17:6 28
2 FC Cascavel 14 7 6 1 27:17 27
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 4 6 4 15:13 18
4 SER Caxias do Sul 14 4 6 4 15:13 18
5 Gremio Juventus 14 4 6 4 12:11 18
6 Marcilio Dias 14 4 6 4 13:17 18
7 Aimore 14 3 3 8 15:18 12
8 Rio Branco PR 14 1 4 9 8:27 7
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D 2021 (Play Offs)