Sport Picks

Guarany vs Paragominas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil

Serie D 2021

Guarany

1 - 0

Paragominas

Our Tip

Match Events

Rai

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D 2021 game between Guarany and Paragominas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Guarany

20%

Draws

51%

Paragominas

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paragominas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Guarany haven't matched Paragominas's recent run of results.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Serie D 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Guarany Clean Sheet 19%

Paragominas Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guarany	Paragominas
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	11	12
Draws	6	13
Losses	13	8
Goals Scored	1.1	1.39
Goals Conceded	1.3	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.92	1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2021 Serie D

Paragominas vs Guarany

2:1

Jun 5, 2021 Serie D

Guarany vs Paragominas

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany 32 / 100

Paragominas 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guarany Paragominas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarany found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Paragominas let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Guarany remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paragominas

0 Goals Scored 1.38

0 Goals Conceded 0.63

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany

(Home)

03 Oct

Guarany

0 : 2

Campinense

25 Sept

Campinense

2 : 1

Guarany

20 Sept

Guarany

2 : 0

Galvez

13 Sept

Galvez

0 : 0

Guarany

04 Sept

Paragominas

2 : 1

Guarany

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Paragominas

(Away)

13 Jun

Urumajo

1 : 0

Paragominas

07 Jun

Paragominas

2 : 2

Urumajo

03 Jun

Caete

0 : 2

Paragominas

30 May

Paragominas

2 : 0

Caete

17 May

Urumajo

1 : 0

Paragominas

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