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Guarany vs Tocantinopolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil

Serie D 2021

Guarany

2 - 1

Tocantinopolis

Our Tip

Match Events

70'

Daniel Passira

88'

Bilau

90'

Gabriel Joao

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D 2021 game between Guarany and Tocantinopolis finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Guarany

15%

Draws

59%

Tocantinopolis

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Tocantinopolis come out ahead of Guarany on wins alone.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Serie D 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Guarany Clean Sheet 20%

Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guarany	Tocantinopolis
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	11	13
Draws	6	12
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	1.1	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.3	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.23	1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2021 Serie D

Guarany vs Tocantinopolis

2:1

Jun 27, 2021 Serie D

Tocantinopolis vs Guarany

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarany Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Passira

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gabriel Joao

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.95

Avg xA / game 0.61

Tocantinopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilau

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.07

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany 32 / 100

Tocantinopolis 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guarany Tocantinopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tocantinopolis Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Guarany's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tocantinopolis let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.

Guarany has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tocantinopolis

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.25

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany

(Home)

03 Oct

Guarany

0 : 2

Campinense

25 Sept

Campinense

2 : 1

Guarany

20 Sept

Guarany

2 : 0

Galvez

13 Sept

Galvez

0 : 0

Guarany

04 Sept

Paragominas

2 : 1

Guarany

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Tocantinopolis

(Away)

06 Jun

Tocantinopolis

7 : 1

Oratorio

30 May

Aguia De Maraba

3 : 1

Tocantinopolis

23 May

Trem

4 : 1

Tocantinopolis

16 May

Tocantinopolis

2 : 0

Imperatriz

10 May

Tuna Luso

2 : 3

Tocantinopolis

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