Sport Picks
Guarda Desportiva vs Castro Daire - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 game between Guarda Desportiva and Castro Daire finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castro Daire.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Castro Daire carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Castro Daire's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarda Desportiva | Castro Daire |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 21 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.54 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.08 | 1.98 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Castro Daire let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Guarda Desportiva found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (28 games).
Recent resilience: Guarda Desportiva stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Guarda Desportiva
(Home)Castro Daire
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Salgueiros | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 39:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Lusitania FC | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Rebordosa | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 42:23 | 51 |
| 4 | Beira Mar | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 35:21 | 48 |
| 5 | Maritimo B | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 39:26 | 43 |
| 6 | Valadares Gaia FC | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 39:29 | 40 |
| 7 | Gondomar | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:32 | 38 |
| 8 | Camacha | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30:34 | 34 |
| 9 | Leca | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 29:29 | 33 |
| 10 | Machico | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 31:40 | 29 |
| 11 | FC Alpendorada | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30:43 | 29 |
| 12 | Castro Daire | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 23:34 | 20 |
| 13 | GD Resende | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 30:50 | 17 |
| 14 | Guarda Desportiva | 26 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 21:61 | 8 |
