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Guarda Desportiva vs FC Alpendorada

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 game between Guarda Desportiva and FC Alpendorada finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Guarda Desportiva
6%
Draws
90%
FC Alpendorada
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Alpendorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Alpendorada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Alpendorada's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Guarda Desportiva Clean Sheet 21%
FC Alpendorada Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarda Desportiva FC Alpendorada
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 2 11
Draws 5 13
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Guarda Desportiva vs FC Alpendorada
2:2
Sep 18, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Alpendorada vs Guarda Desportiva
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarda Desportiva 10 / 100
FC Alpendorada 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarda Desportiva FC Alpendorada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Alpendorada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Guarda Desportiva scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Guarda Desportiva has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Alpendorada
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Salgueiros26157439:2552
2Lusitania FC26157449:2352
3Rebordosa26149342:2351
4Beira Mar26139435:2148
5Maritimo B26127739:2643
6Valadares Gaia FC261010639:2940
7Gondomar26108833:3238
8Camacha26971030:3434
9Leca261031329:2933
10Machico26781131:4029
11FC Alpendorada26851330:4329
12Castro Daire26481423:3420
13GD Resende26451730:5017
14Guarda Desportiva26251921:618