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Guarda Desportiva vs Machico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023
Guarda Desportiva Logo

Guarda Desportiva

2 - 3
FT
Machico Logo

Machico

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 game between Guarda Desportiva and Machico finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Machico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Guarda Desportiva
30%
Draws
62%
Machico
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Machico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Guarda Desportiva haven't matched Machico's recent run of results.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Machico taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Guarda Desportiva Clean Sheet 19%
Machico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarda Desportiva Machico
Matches Played 28 37
Wins 2 17
Draws 5 9
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.54 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Machico vs Guarda Desportiva
3:0
Dec 11, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Guarda Desportiva vs Machico
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarda Desportiva 10 / 100
Machico 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarda Desportiva Machico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Machico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Guarda Desportiva scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Machico has conceded goals in 59% of their last 37 outings.

Guarda Desportiva went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Machico
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarda Desportiva

(Home)
16 Apr
Valadares Gaia FC
1 : 1
Guarda Desportiva
08 Apr
Guarda Desportiva
1 : 2
Camacha
04 Apr
Machico
3 : 0
Guarda Desportiva
19 Mar
Guarda Desportiva
1 : 5
Leca
12 Mar
Castro Daire
4 : 0
Guarda Desportiva
Page 1 of 6

Machico

(Away)
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0
Estrela Calheta
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Salgueiros 26 15 7 4 39:25 52
2 Lusitania FC 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Rebordosa 26 14 9 3 42:23 51
4 Beira Mar 26 13 9 4 35:21 48
5 Maritimo B 26 12 7 7 39:26 43
6 Valadares Gaia FC 26 10 10 6 39:29 40
7 Gondomar 26 10 8 8 33:32 38
8 Camacha 26 9 7 10 30:34 34
9 Leca 26 10 3 13 29:29 33
10 Machico 26 7 8 11 31:40 29
11 FC Alpendorada 26 8 5 13 30:43 29
12 Castro Daire 26 4 8 14 23:34 20
13 GD Resende 26 4 5 17 30:50 17
14 Guarda Desportiva 26 2 5 19 21:61 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)