Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2024/2025

Guarda FC

Sat, Sep 7, 2024

5 - 4

04:00 PM

Estarreja

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guarda FC in this Taça de Portugal 2024/2025 tie, finishing 5-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Guarda FC

20%

Draws

40%

Estarreja

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Guarda FC have won more games recently than Estarreja.
Win probability leans Guarda FC's way, sitting at 70%.
Guarda FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Guarda FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%

Guarda FC Clean Sheet 68%

Estarreja Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guarda FC	Estarreja
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	10	6
Draws	6	8
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	1.23	1.59
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.17	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2024 Taça de Portugal

Guarda FC vs Estarreja

5:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarda FC 77 / 100

Estarreja 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guarda FC Estarreja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarda FC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Estarreja conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Estarreja has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Guarda FC scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarda FC VS Estarreja

1.13 Goals Scored 0

0.63 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarda FC

(Home)

20 Sept

Guarda FC

2 : 3

Chaves

13 Sept

Guarda FC

2 : 2

Camacha

06 Sept

Uniao Lamas

1 : 0

Guarda FC

30 Aug

Ac. Fundao

0 : 6

Guarda FC

23 Aug

Florgrade

1 : 0

Guarda FC

Page 1 of 6

Estarreja

(Away)

07 Sept

Guarda FC

5 : 4

Estarreja

11 Sept

Estarreja

1 : 2

Aguias do Moradal

14 May

Agueda

2 : 2

Estarreja

07 May

Estarreja

3 : 1

Mortagua FC

30 Apr

CD Gouveia

3 : 1

Estarreja

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Varzim -

TBD -

Ferreiras -

TBD -

Boavista -

Leca 2

AD Marco 09 3

TBD -

O Elvas CAD -

Academica 2

SB Castelo Branco 0

TBD -

Torreense -

GD Peniche -

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Camacha -

TBD -

Leiria -

TBD -

Nacional -

Marinhense -

TBD -

Caldas SC 1

Uniao Da Serra 0

Tirsense -

TBD -

Vieira 2

Pedras Salgadas 0

Brito 2

Maia Lidador 1

Abrantes Benfica 0

Operario 2

Moura AC 1

Portel 0

TBD -

Castrense -

Covilha -

TBD -

Pedrogao Sao Pedro 1

SC Pombal 3

Moncarapachense 3

Grandolense 0

Louletano 3

Esperanca de Lagos 0

Os Marialvas -

TBD -

Tondela -

Rebordosa 3

Juventude Gaula 0

TBD -

GD Braganca -

CD Lajense -

TBD -

Maria de Fonte 2

Cardielense 1

TBD -

Arouca -

Fatima -

TBD -

Figueirense 0

Sanjoanense 5

TBD -

SC Farense -

Pevidem -

TBD -

Maritimo -

TBD -

Benfica -

Vila Cortez 2

Anadia 4

TBD -

CD Rabo Peixe -

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Guarda FC 5

Estarreja 4

TBD -

Leixoes -

Alcains -

TBD -

C.F. Benfica 4

Industria 3

1º Dezembro -

TBD -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Braga -

Lusitano GC -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

TBD -

Estoril -

Ferreira do Zezere 2

Ac. Fundao 0

TBD -

Os Sandinenses -

TBD -

AFS -

CF Os Gavionenses 0

Arronches Benfica 3

SC Vila Real 1

GD Joane 0

Academica Coimbra SF -

TBD -

Atletico Arcos -

Viana Alentejo 1

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Trofense -

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Santarem 2

Sacavenense 0

TBD -

Desportivo Moncao -

TBD -

Moreirense -

Sintrense -

TBD -

FC Madalena 0

Estrela Vendas Novas 2

TBD -

FC Porto -

SC Vianense 2

Vinhais 1

TBD -

Portimonense -

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Electrico FC -

TBD -

AD Fafe 1

Amarante FC 4

Lajense -

TBD -

Fabril do Barreiro -

Lagoa -

TBD -

Uniao de Coimbra 3

Beira Mar 2

TBD -

Famalicao -

Gondomar -

TBD -

Alianca de Gandra 2

SC Salgueiros 1

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Amora -

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Valpacos 3

AD Limianos 5

TBD -

Chaves -

Lusitania FC 2

Uniao Lamas 1

TBD -

Vizela -

Coimbroes -

TBD -

Alverca -

Pero Pinheiro -

TBD -

Feirense -

Atletico CP -

TBD -

Oliveira de Frades 0

Mortagua FC 3

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Oliveira Hospital -

TBD -

Machico 3

Macedo de Cavaleiros 0

Montijo -

TBD -

Mafra -

FC Alpendorada -

TBD -

Vieirense 1

Sertanense 4

Cinfaes 3

GD Resende 0

TBD -

FC Barreirense -

Tocha -

TBD -

Penafiel -

Sao Roque 1

SC Lusitania 2

Velense 1

Regua 2

UD Ovarense 1

Sao Joao de Ver 2

Praia Milfontes 0

Serpa 5

Paredes -

TBD -

Dumiense 2

Vilaverdense FC 3

1/64-finals

Varzim 3

Ferreiras 0

TBD -

Boavista -

AD Marco 09 0

O Elvas CAD 1

Academica 0

Torreense 1

GD Peniche 0

Pacos Ferreira 2

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Camacha 0

Leiria 2

TBD -

Nacional -

Marinhense 0

Caldas SC 1

Tirsense 2

Vieira 0

Brito 1

Operario 0

Moura AC 4

Castrense 2

Covilha 4

SC Pombal 0

Moncarapachense 2

Louletano 1

Os Marialvas 2

Tondela 1

Rebordosa 2

GD Braganca 1

CD Lajense 0

Maria de Fonte 1

TBD -

Arouca -

Fatima 0

Sanjoanense 1

TBD -

SC Farense -

Pevidem 2

Maritimo 1

TBD -

Benfica -

Anadia 3

CD Rabo Peixe 0

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Guarda FC 0

Leixoes 1

Alcains 4

C.F. Benfica 1

1º Dezembro 2

Oliveirense 1

TBD -

Braga -

Lusitano GC 2

Academico Viseu 1

TBD -

Estoril -

Ferreira do Zezere 1

Os Sandinenses 2

TBD -

AFS -

Arronches Benfica 0

SC Vila Real 1

Academica Coimbra SF 1

Atletico Arcos 2

CF Os Belenenses 3

Trofense 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Santarem 2

Desportivo Moncao 1

TBD -

Moreirense -

Sintrense 2

Estrela Vendas Novas 1

TBD -

FC Porto -

SC Vianense 1

Portimonense 3

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Electrico FC 0

Amarante FC 2

Lajense 2

Fabril do Barreiro 1

Lagoa 2

Uniao de Coimbra 0

TBD -

Famalicao -

Gondomar 1

Alianca de Gandra 0

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Amora 1

FC Felgueiras 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

AD Limianos 0

Chaves 2

Lusitania FC 4

Vizela 3

Coimbroes 2

Alverca 3

Pero Pinheiro 1

Feirense 0

Atletico CP 3

Mortagua FC 0

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Oliveira Hospital 2

Machico 0

Montijo 1

Mafra 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Sertanense 0

Cinfaes 3

FC Barreirense 2

Tocha 1

Penafiel 4

SC Lusitania 2

Regua 1

Sao Joao de Ver 1

Serpa 0

Paredes 3

Vilaverdense FC 2

1/32-finals

Varzim 1

Boavista 0

O Elvas CAD 3

Torreense 2

Pacos Ferreira 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 3

Leiria 2

Nacional 1

Caldas SC 1

Tirsense 2

Brito 1

Moura AC 0

Covilha 3

Moncarapachense 2

Os Marialvas 1

Rebordosa 2

Maria de Fonte 0

Arouca 5

Sanjoanense 2

SC Farense 4

Pevidem 0

Benfica 2

Anadia 1

Estrela da Amadora 3

Leixoes 2

Alcains 1

1º Dezembro 1

Braga 2

Lusitano GC 1

Estoril 0

Os Sandinenses 0

AFS 2

SC Vila Real 2

Atletico Arcos 0

CF Os Belenenses 0

Gil Vicente 2

Santarem 1

Moreirense 2

Sintrense 0

FC Porto 3

Portimonense 1

Sporting CP 2

Amarante FC 6

Lajense 1

Lagoa 0

Famalicao 2

Gondomar 0

Santa Clara 1

Amora 0

Casa Pia 5

Chaves 2

Lusitania FC 0

Alverca 3

Pero Pinheiro 0

Atletico CP 1

Rio Ave 3

Oliveira Hospital 1

Mafra 0

FC Alpendorada 1

Cinfaes 2

Penafiel 2

SC Lusitania 3

Sao Joao de Ver 4

Paredes 1

1/16-finals

Varzim 1

O Elvas CAD 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Leiria 0

Tirsense 1

Brito 0

Covilha 2

Rebordosa 3

Arouca 1

SC Farense 2

Benfica 7

Estrela da Amadora 0

Leixoes 0

Braga 2

Lusitano GC 3

AFS 2

SC Vila Real 0

Gil Vicente 2

Moreirense 2

FC Porto 1

Sporting CP 6

Amarante FC 0

Famalicao 0

Santa Clara 1

Casa Pia 3

Chaves 0

Alverca 2

Rio Ave 3

Oliveira Hospital 4

Cinfaes 2

SC Lusitania 0

Sao Joao de Ver 2

1/8-finals

O Elvas CAD 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Tirsense 1

Rebordosa 0

SC Farense 1

Benfica 3

Braga 2

Lusitano GC 1

Gil Vicente 1

Moreirense 0

Sporting CP 2

Santa Clara 1

Casa Pia 1

Rio Ave 3

Oliveira Hospital 1

Sao Joao de Ver 3

Quarter-finals

O Elvas CAD 0

Tirsense 2

Benfica 1

Braga 0

Gil Vicente 0

Sporting CP 1

Rio Ave 2

Sao Joao de Ver 1

Semi-finals

Tirsense 0

Benfica 9

Sporting CP 4

Rio Ave 1

Final

Benfica 1

Sporting CP 3

Guarda FC vs Estarreja

Portugal

Guarda FC

Estarreja

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Guarda FC

Estarreja

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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