Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarda FC vs Regua

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Guarda FC Logo

Guarda FC

1 - 1
FT
Regua Logo

Regua

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Bruma
55' Event
Lobo Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 game between Guarda FC and Regua finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Guarda FC
20%
Draws
16%
Regua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarda FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Guarda FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Guarda FC a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Guarda FC Clean Sheet 20%
Regua Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarda FC Regua
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.07 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Guarda FC vs Regua
1:1
Jan 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Regua vs Guarda FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarda FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruma
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Regua Compare

Top Goalscorer Lobo Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarda FC 85 / 100
Regua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarda FC Regua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarda FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Regua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Regua's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Guarda FC scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarda FC VS Regua
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarda FC

(Home)
20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3
Chaves
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Uniao Lamas
1 : 0
Guarda FC
30 Aug
Ac. Fundao
0 : 6
Guarda FC
23 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Guarda FC
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Regua

(Away)
30 Aug
Regua
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
13 Apr
Guarda FC
1 : 1
Regua
06 Apr
Regua
0 : 3
SC Salgueiros
30 Mar
Uniao Lamas
2 : 1
Regua
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)