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Guarda FC vs SC Salgueiros

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Soares P.
22' Event
Soares P.
(Penalty)
57' Event
Borges M.

AI Match Summary

SC Salgueiros in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Salgueiros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Guarda FC
33%
Draws
40%
SC Salgueiros
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: SC Salgueiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Salgueiros have won more games recently than Guarda FC.
  • Model gives SC Salgueiros a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Guarda FC Clean Sheet 23%
SC Salgueiros Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarda FC SC Salgueiros
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 11
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Guarda FC vs SC Salgueiros
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Guarda FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarda FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Borges M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SC Salgueiros Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarda FC 29 / 100
SC Salgueiros 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarda FC SC Salgueiros

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: SC Salgueiros registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Guarda FC scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

SC Salgueiros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC Salgueiros
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leca26195252:1762
2AD Marco 0926165535:1653
3SC Salgueiros26165539:1853
4Cinfaes26118733:2541
5Beira Mar26109731:2839
6Uniao Lamas261151031:2738
7FC Alpendorada261061026:2436
8Machico2698928:2735
9Camacha26811730:3535
10Guarda FC26951226:3032
11Gondomar26871116:2831
12Coimbroes26561524:4321
13Maritimo B26451725:4917
14Regua26152016:458