Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarda FC vs SC Salgueiros

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Soares P.
22' Event
Soares P.
(Penalty)
57' Event
Borges M.

AI Match Summary

SC Salgueiros in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Salgueiros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Guarda FC
30%
Draws
51%
SC Salgueiros
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Salgueiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • SC Salgueiros have won more games recently than Guarda FC.
  • Model gives Guarda FC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Guarda FC Clean Sheet 20%
SC Salgueiros Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarda FC SC Salgueiros
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 12
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Guarda FC vs SC Salgueiros
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Guarda FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarda FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Borges M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

SC Salgueiros Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarda FC 42 / 100
SC Salgueiros 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarda FC SC Salgueiros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Guarda FC scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

SC Salgueiros has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Guarda FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarda FC VS SC Salgueiros
1.43 Goals Scored 0.75
1.14 Goals Conceded 1
43% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 13%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarda FC

(Home)
20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3
Chaves
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Uniao Lamas
1 : 0
Guarda FC
30 Aug
Ac. Fundao
0 : 6
Guarda FC
23 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Guarda FC
Page 1 of 6

SC Salgueiros

(Away)
19 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Feirense
13 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Cinfaes
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)