Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2011

Guariba

1 - 2

Capivariano

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Capivariano in this Paulista A4 2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Capivariano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Guariba

15%

Draws

34%

Capivariano

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guariba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Capivariano have won more games recently than Guariba.
Guariba are the model's pick here, at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Guariba Clean Sheet 20%

Capivariano Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guariba	Capivariano
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	15
Draws	6	6
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.7	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.57	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.04	1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2011 Paulista A4

Capivariano vs Guariba

2:1

Aug 10, 2011 Paulista A4

Guariba vs Capivariano

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guariba 76 / 100

Capivariano 11 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guariba Capivariano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guariba Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guariba found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Guariba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Capivariano has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Capivariano

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 38%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guariba

(Home)

21 Sept

Guariba

2 : 1

Paulinia

17 Sept

Portuguesa Santista

2 : 0

Guariba

13 Sept

Gremio Prudente

3 : 4

Guariba

07 Sept

Guariba

4 : 3

Gremio Prudente

03 Sept

Guariba

0 : 1

Portuguesa Santista

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Capivariano

(Away)

21 Feb

Palmeiras

4 : 0

Capivariano

15 Feb

Botafogo SP

0 : 1

Capivariano

08 Feb

Capivariano

1 : 0

Mirassol

05 Feb

Corinthians

3 : 0

Capivariano

25 Jan

Capivariano

1 : 2

Primavera EC

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