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Guariba vs Guacuano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Paulista A4 2011
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2011 game between Guariba and Guacuano finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guacuano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Guariba
15%
Draws
0%
Guacuano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guariba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Guacuano haven't matched Guariba's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Guariba taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Guariba Clean Sheet 20%
Guacuano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guariba Guacuano
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.66 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2011 Paulista A4
Guariba vs Guacuano
1:5
Aug 7, 2011 Paulista A4
Guacuano vs Guariba
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guariba 85 / 100
Guacuano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guariba Guacuano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guariba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guariba scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Guacuano let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Guacuano has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guariba VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guariba

(Home)
21 Sept
Guariba
2 : 1
Paulinia
17 Sept
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Guariba
13 Sept
Gremio Prudente
3 : 4
Guariba
07 Sept
Guariba
4 : 3
Gremio Prudente
03 Sept
Guariba
0 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
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Guacuano

(Away)
13 Apr
Independente SP
3 : 0
Guacuano
06 Apr
Guacuano
1 : 3
Juventus-SP
02 Apr
Tupa
2 : 0
Guacuano
29 Mar
Sertaozinho
1 : 0
Guacuano
26 Mar
Guacuano
0 : 4
Noroeste
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capivariano 6 5 1 0 13:4 16
2 Guacuano 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
3 Bandeirante 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
4 Guariba 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barretos EC 6 4 0 2 8:3 12
2 ECUS SP 6 4 0 2 7:5 12
3 Palmeirinha SP 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
4 Cotia 6 2 0 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 6 2 4 0 11:5 10
2 FC Primeira Camisa 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
3 Guaruja 6 2 1 3 9:14 7
4 Sumare 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
2 Jacarei (Inactive) 6 3 1 2 14:11 10
3 EC Sao Bernardo 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
4 Tupa 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernandopolis 6 4 2 0 11:1 14
2 Olimpia FC 6 2 3 1 6:6 9
3 Sao Vicente 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Guarulhos 6 0 2 4 4:13 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Votuporanguense 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
3 Brasilis 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Ole Brasil 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)