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Guariba vs Primavera EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2012
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2012 game between Guariba and Primavera EC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Primavera EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Guariba
15%
Draws
37%
Primavera EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guariba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Primavera EC's 1.77 goals per match outpaces what Guariba have produced (1.7).
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Primavera EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Guariba Clean Sheet 17%
Primavera EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guariba Primavera EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2012 Paulista A4
Primavera EC vs Guariba
1:2
Jul 22, 2012 Paulista A4
Guariba vs Primavera EC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guariba 10 / 100
Primavera EC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guariba Primavera EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primavera EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guariba scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Primavera EC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Guariba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Primavera EC
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guariba

(Home)
21 Sept
Guariba
2 : 1
Paulinia
17 Sept
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Guariba
13 Sept
Gremio Prudente
3 : 4
Guariba
07 Sept
Guariba
4 : 3
Gremio Prudente
03 Sept
Guariba
0 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
Page 1 of 6

Primavera EC

(Away)
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0
Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Noroeste
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0
Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5
Primavera EC
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Votuporanguense 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
2 Guaruja 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Jaboticabal Atletico 6 3 1 2 8:4 10
4 Manthiqueira 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernandopolis 6 3 2 1 7:7 11
2 Olimpia FC 6 2 2 2 8:5 8
3 Sumare 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
4 Jabaquara 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 6 4 2 0 10:1 14
2 SKA Brasil 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
3 Americo EC 6 2 2 2 6:5 8
4 Atletico Mogi 6 0 0 6 3:18 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tupa 6 4 1 1 6:5 13
2 Mauaense 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
3 Primavera EC 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Guariba 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional SP 6 4 1 1 5:2 13
2 Jose Bonifacio EC 6 2 3 1 10:7 9
3 Cotia 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Desportivo 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jacarei FC 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
2 Sao Vicente 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 SC Barueri 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Pirassununguense 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams