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Guarnizo vs Bezana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guarnizo host Bezana in the Tercera RFEF - Group 3. Little to choose between these two on current form. Bezana have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while Guarnizo have conceded 0.94 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Guarnizo slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.69) point toward Guarnizo. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Guarnizo
15%
Draws
67%
Bezana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bezana at 1.43 per game, Guarnizo at 1.38.
  • Win probability leans Bezana's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 13%
Bezana Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarnizo Bezana
Matches Played 34 37
Wins 17 17
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Guarnizo
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Bezana
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Bezana
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Guarnizo
0:1
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Bezana
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarnizo 10 / 100
Bezana 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarnizo Bezana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bezana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarnizo's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bezana conceded in 62% of 37 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Guarnizo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarnizo VS Bezana
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarnizo

(Home)
03 Oct
Torina
1 : 1
Guarnizo
26 Sept
Guarnizo
3 : 1
Velarde
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1
Guarnizo
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7

Bezana

(Away)
03 Oct
Bezana
1 : 0
Vimenor
27 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 2
Bezana
19 Sept
Bezana
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1
Atletico Albericia
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Tropezon 5 5 0 0 11:2 15
2 Bezana 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
3 CD Laredo 5 4 0 1 12:2 12
4 Vimenor 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
5 Cayon CD 5 3 1 1 5:2 10
6 Torina 5 2 3 0 8:2 9
7 UD Samano 5 2 2 1 12:6 8
8 CD Revilla 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
9 Selaya 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
10 Atletico Mineros 5 2 0 3 4:11 6
11 Castro 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
12 UM Escobedo 5 1 2 2 3:7 5
13 Guarnizo 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
14 Solares 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
15 Velarde 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
16 Atletico Albericia 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
17 Naval Reinosa 5 0 1 4 4:13 1
18 CD Barquereno 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)