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Guarnizo vs CD Colindres

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Guarnizo Logo

Guarnizo

1 - 0
FT
CD Colindres Logo

CD Colindres

Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Somaza D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guarnizo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarnizo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Guarnizo
30%
Draws
47%
CD Colindres
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Colindres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarnizo have won more games recently than CD Colindres.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 24%
CD Colindres Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarnizo CD Colindres
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.34 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs CD Colindres
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs Guarnizo
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs CD Colindres
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs Guarnizo
0:0
Apr 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs CD Colindres
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarnizo Compare

Top Goalscorer Somaza D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CD Colindres Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarnizo 37 / 100
CD Colindres 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarnizo CD Colindres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Colindres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarnizo scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

CD Colindres has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

CD Colindres's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Guarnizo VS CD Colindres
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarnizo

(Home)
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1
Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0
CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 6

CD Colindres

(Away)
09 May
CD Laredo
2 : 1
CD Colindres
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3
Bezana
25 Apr
Torina
2 : 0
CD Colindres
19 Apr
CD Colindres
3 : 0
CD Barquereno
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2
CD Colindres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)