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Guarnizo vs CD Tropezon

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Guarnizo
20%
Draws
69%
CD Tropezon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Tropezon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Guarnizo haven't matched CD Tropezon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CD Tropezon's way, sitting at 80%.
  • CD Tropezon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarnizo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 20%
CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarnizo CD Tropezon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Guarnizo
3:0
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs CD Tropezon
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs CD Tropezon
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Guarnizo
0:3
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs CD Tropezon
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarnizo 12 / 100
CD Tropezon 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarnizo CD Tropezon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Tropezon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guarnizo scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

CD Tropezon has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Guarnizo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarnizo VS CD Tropezon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarnizo

(Home)
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1
Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0
CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 6

CD Tropezon

(Away)
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Selaya
06 Sept
CD Laredo
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
06 Jun
CD Laredo
0 : 1
CD Tropezon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
CD Laredo 3
UM Escobedo 1
CD Tropezon 3
Guarnizo 0
Final
CD Laredo 0
CD Tropezon 1