Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarnizo vs Pontejos

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guarnizo in this Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarnizo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Guarnizo
20%
Draws
60%
Pontejos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pontejos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guarnizo lately — more wins on the board than Pontejos.
  • 60% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 20%
Pontejos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarnizo Pontejos
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.35 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.81 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Guarnizo
3:0
Jan 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Pontejos
3:0
May 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Guarnizo
1:1
Jan 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Pontejos
1:0
May 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Pontejos
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarnizo 36 / 100
Pontejos 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarnizo Pontejos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontejos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pontejos conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Guarnizo scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Pontejos's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarnizo VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarnizo

(Home)
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1
Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0
CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7

Pontejos

(Away)
11 May
Barreda Balompie
4 : 2
Pontejos
04 May
Pontejos
3 : 0
Guarnizo
26 Apr
Ribamontan al Mar
1 : 2
Pontejos
20 Apr
Pontejos
0 : 1
Gama
17 Apr
Castro
4 : 0
Pontejos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Tropezon 38 25 8 5 87:32 83
2 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 25 8 5 76:27 83
3 Cayon CD 38 20 13 5 50:22 73
4 CD Laredo 38 18 14 6 54:30 68
5 Castro 38 20 8 10 52:33 68
6 Vimenor 38 17 10 11 53:43 61
7 Barreda Balompie 38 17 9 12 50:44 60
8 Santona 38 16 10 12 53:51 58
9 CD Siete Villas 38 15 8 15 48:49 53
10 Guarnizo 38 13 13 12 45:41 52
11 UM Escobedo 38 14 9 15 67:54 51
12 Gama 38 15 5 18 35:42 50
13 Bezana 38 11 14 13 42:47 47
14 Atletico Albericia 38 12 11 15 50:51 47
15 Pontejos 38 13 8 17 45:55 47
16 Ribamontan al Mar 38 11 12 15 42:51 45
17 Deportiva Santillana 38 9 9 20 43:65 36
18 Textil Escudo 38 8 6 24 35:69 30
19 Escuela Meruelo 38 5 7 26 33:85 22
20 San Martin Arena 38 2 6 30 16:85 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)