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Guarnizo vs Solares - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Rivero R.
57' Event
Peredo S.
65' Event
Ocejo D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 game between Guarnizo and Solares finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarnizo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Guarnizo
20%
Draws
40%
Solares
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Guarnizo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Guarnizo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 20%
Solares Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarnizo Solares
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.42 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Solares
4:2
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Solares vs Guarnizo
3:1
Jan 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Solares vs Guarnizo
2:3
Sep 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Solares
1:2
Jan 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Solares vs Guarnizo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarnizo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivero R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ocejo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Solares Compare

Top Goalscorer Peredo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torre D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarnizo 42 / 100
Solares 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarnizo Solares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarnizo found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solares let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Solares has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarnizo VS Solares
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarnizo

(Home)
03 Oct
Torina
1 : 1
Guarnizo
26 Sept
Guarnizo
3 : 1
Velarde
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1
Guarnizo
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7

Solares

(Away)
03 Oct
Solares
0 : 0
UM Escobedo
27 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2
Solares
19 Sept
Solares
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0
Solares
06 Sept
Solares
0 : 2
CD Revilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UM Escobedo 34 21 5 8 58:30 68
2 CD Laredo 34 18 7 9 49:22 61
3 Torina 34 16 12 6 45:37 60
4 Atletico Albericia 34 17 7 10 54:37 58
5 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 43:32 57
6 CD Tropezon 34 15 11 8 49:38 56
7 Bezana 34 17 5 12 49:42 56
8 Castro 34 16 4 14 41:41 52
9 Guarnizo 34 13 9 12 37:31 48
10 CD Revilla 34 12 8 14 41:52 44
11 Naval Reinosa 34 9 16 9 39:37 43
12 CD Colindres 34 13 4 17 37:42 43
13 CD Siete Villas 34 11 9 14 50:48 42
14 UD Samano 34 11 8 15 40:44 41
15 Atletico Mineros 34 8 9 17 35:63 33
16 Solares 34 9 6 19 33:54 33
17 UC Cartes 34 8 7 19 32:50 31
18 Velarde 34 3 11 20 29:61 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 (Play Offs)