Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Guarnizo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarnizo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Guarnizo have won more games recently than Velarde.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarnizo | Velarde |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 3 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.84 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarnizo Compare
Velarde Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Velarde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: Guarnizo scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Velarde's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Guarnizo
(Home)Velarde
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Tropezon | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Bezana | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 15 |
| 3 | CD Laredo | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:2 | 12 |
| 4 | Vimenor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 5 | Cayon CD | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 6 | Torina | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 7 | UD Samano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 8 |
| 8 | CD Revilla | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 8 |
| 9 | Selaya | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 10 | Atletico Mineros | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 6 |
| 11 | Castro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 12 | UM Escobedo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | 5 |
| 13 | Guarnizo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Solares | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 15 | Velarde | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico Albericia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 1 |
| 17 | Naval Reinosa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:13 | 1 |
| 18 | CD Barquereno | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:11 | 1 |