Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2011

Guaruja

4 - 3

Sumare

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guaruja in this Paulista A4 2011 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guaruja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Guaruja

15%

Draws

85%

Sumare

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sumare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Sumare at 0.94 per game, Guaruja at 0.88.
Model gives Sumare a 85% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%

Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Guaruja Clean Sheet 15%

Sumare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guaruja	Sumare
Matches Played	32	32
Wins	5	5
Draws	5	7
Losses	22	20
Goals Scored	0.88	0.94
Goals Conceded	2.28	2.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2011 Paulista A4

Guaruja vs Sumare

4:3

Aug 9, 2011 Paulista A4

Sumare vs Guaruja

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guaruja 19 / 100

Sumare 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guaruja Sumare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sumare Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sumare has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Sumare lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Guaruja scored in 41% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guaruja VS Sumare

0.38 Goals Scored 0.67

2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5

88% Over 1.5 83%

75% Over 2.5 67%

13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Guaruja

(Home)

08 Jul

Elosport

3 : 0

Guaruja

30 Jun

Guaruja

0 : 3

AA Itarare

23 Jun

Primavera EC

3 : 0

Guaruja

16 Jun

Guaruja

0 : 3

Jabaquara

10 Jun

Maua FC

3 : 0

Guaruja

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Sumare

(Away)

21 Sept

Primavera EC

3 : 0

Sumare

17 Sept

Sumare

1 : 5

Lemense

14 Sept

Sumare

1 : 1

Manthiqueira

07 Sept

Manthiqueira

2 : 1

Sumare

03 Sept

Lemense

3 : 1

Sumare

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