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Guarulhos vs Flamengo SP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2021
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2021 game between Guarulhos and Flamengo SP finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flamengo SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Guarulhos
15%
Draws
54%
Flamengo SP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flamengo SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flamengo SP come out ahead of Guarulhos on wins alone.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Guarulhos taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Guarulhos Clean Sheet 18%
Flamengo SP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarulhos Flamengo SP
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 17
Draws 4 9
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.42 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.1 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Paulista B
Guarulhos vs Flamengo SP
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Paulista B
Flamengo SP vs Guarulhos
2:0
Jun 21, 2025 Paulista B
Flamengo SP vs Guarulhos
0:0
May 18, 2025 Paulista B
Guarulhos vs Flamengo SP
0:2
Jun 10, 2023 Paulista A4
Flamengo SP vs Guarulhos
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarulhos 40 / 100
Flamengo SP 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarulhos Flamengo SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarulhos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarulhos scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Guarulhos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Flamengo SP let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Guarulhos VS Flamengo SP
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarulhos

(Home)
20 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 2
Paulinense
13 Jun
Votoraty SP
4 : 2
Guarulhos
05 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Paulinia FU
31 May
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Flamengo SP
24 May
Audax-SP
2 : 2
Guarulhos
Page 1 of 7

Flamengo SP

(Away)
02 Aug
Independente SP
2 : 0
Flamengo SP
25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0
Independente SP
18 Jul
Flamengo SP
3 : 1
Matonense
11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Flamengo SP
2 : 1
Audax-SP
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Matonense 10 7 2 1 13:5 23
2 Taquaritinga 10 5 2 3 15:8 17
3 Catanduva FC 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
4 Inter de Bebedouro 10 4 3 3 15:9 15
5 Fernandopolis 10 1 4 5 13:20 7
6 America SP 10 1 2 7 8:23 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 XV de Jau 10 7 2 1 12:7 23
2 Gremio Prudente 10 5 2 3 15:10 17
3 Vocem 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Assisense 10 4 1 5 9:11 13
5 Santacruzense 10 2 3 5 7:8 9
6 Osvaldo Cruz 10 1 2 7 7:17 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco SP 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Independente SP 10 5 3 2 12:9 18
3 Sao-Carlense 10 4 5 1 12:6 17
4 Sao Carlos 10 3 2 5 9:13 11
5 Itapirense 10 1 3 6 5:12 6
6 Mogi Mirim 10 1 3 6 3:11 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 8 2 0 18:5 26
2 Paulista 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
3 Colorado Caieiras 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
4 Mauaense 10 3 2 5 14:22 11
5 Guarulhos 10 2 3 5 14:21 9
6 Barcelona SP 10 1 3 6 13:21 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Suzano 10 8 2 0 24:3 26
2 Maua FC 10 6 3 1 23:9 21
3 Uniao Mogi 10 4 1 5 15:10 13
4 ECUS SP 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
5 Manthiqueira 10 3 3 4 13:12 12
6 Atletico Mogi 10 0 0 10 6:37 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams