Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarulhos vs Paulinia FU

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Moraes R.

AI Match Summary

Guarulhos in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarulhos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Guarulhos
15%
Draws
26%
Paulinia FU
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarulhos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guarulhos lately — more wins on the board than Paulinia FU.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Guarulhos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Guarulhos Clean Sheet 20%
Paulinia FU Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarulhos Paulinia FU
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 10 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Paulista B
Guarulhos vs Paulinia FU
1:0
May 3, 2026 Paulista B
Paulinia FU vs Guarulhos
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarulhos Compare

Top Goalscorer Moraes R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Paulinia FU Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarulhos 85 / 100
Paulinia FU 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarulhos Paulinia FU

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarulhos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paulinia FU let in goals in 83% of their last 12 matches.

Guarulhos's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Guarulhos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarulhos VS Paulinia FU
2 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarulhos

(Home)
20 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 2
Paulinense
13 Jun
Votoraty SP
4 : 2
Guarulhos
05 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Paulinia FU
31 May
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Flamengo SP
24 May
Audax-SP
2 : 2
Guarulhos
Page 1 of 6

Paulinia FU

(Away)
04 Jul
Itaqua
3 : 0
Paulinia FU
28 Jun
Paulinia FU
1 : 3
Itaqua
20 Jun
Paulinia FU
3 : 1
Votoraty SP
13 Jun
Flamengo SP
1 : 0
Paulinia FU
05 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Paulinia FU
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)