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Guastatoya vs Antigua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio David Cordón Hichos, Guastatoya
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guastatoya host Antigua in the Liga Nacional. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Guastatoya at 1.33 goals for, 1.17 against; Antigua at 1.76 for, 1.48 against. Head-to-head, Guastatoya have won 1 to Antigua's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.50, favoring Antigua. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Guastatoya
15%
Draws
27%
Antigua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guastatoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Antigua have won more games recently than Guastatoya.
  • Guastatoya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Antigua have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Guastatoya Clean Sheet 16%
Antigua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guastatoya Antigua
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Guastatoya
2:0
Apr 16, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Antigua
3:0
Feb 25, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Guastatoya
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Antigua
0:3
Sep 7, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Guastatoya
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guastatoya 84 / 100
Antigua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guastatoya Antigua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guastatoya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Guastatoya stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Guastatoya scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Antigua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Guastatoya VS Antigua
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guastatoya

(Home)
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
26 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Deportivo San Pedro
19 Sept
Comunicaciones
1 : 2
Guastatoya
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
10 Sept
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Guastatoya
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Antigua

(Away)
03 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Antigua
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
3 Antigua 11 7 0 4 21:17 21
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 12 5 3 4 24:14 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
9 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
10 Aurora F.C. 12 4 0 8 17:21 12
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)