Sport Picks
Guastatoya vs Aurora F.C. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Guatemala
Liga Nacional Estadio David Cordón Hichos, Guastatoya 
Match Events
6'
6'
Lon A.
13'
13'
Avalos V.
16'
16'
Grajeda J.
AI Match Summary
Guastatoya in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guastatoya.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
69%
15%
16%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guastatoya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Guastatoya lately — more wins on the board than Aurora F.C..
- Guastatoya are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Guastatoya have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Guastatoya Clean Sheet 68%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guastatoya | Aurora F.C. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Aurora F.C.
2:1
Jul 25, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Guastatoya
0:1
Mar 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Guastatoya
0:1
Jan 28, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Aurora F.C.
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Aurora F.C.
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guastatoya Compare
Top Goalscorer Lon A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ramirez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Aurora F.C. Compare
Top Goalscorer Morales H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guastatoya 86 / 100
Aurora F.C. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guastatoya Aurora F.C.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guastatoya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guastatoya went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Guastatoya found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Aurora F.C. has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Guastatoya VS Aurora F.C.
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Guastatoya
(Home) 04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1 Aurora F.C.
26 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1 Deportivo San Pedro
19 Sept
Comunicaciones
1 : 2 Guastatoya
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1 Xelaju
10 Sept
Suchitepequez
1 : 1 Guastatoya
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1 Aurora F.C.
26 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1 Deportivo San Pedro
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1 Xelaju
29 Aug
Guastatoya
1 : 2 Marquense
15 Aug
Guastatoya
1 : 0 Municipal
Page 1 of 3
Aurora F.C.
(Away) 04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1 Aurora F.C.
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2 Aurora F.C.
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0 Marquense
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2 Aurora F.C.
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2 Municipal
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1 Aurora F.C.
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2 Aurora F.C.
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2 Aurora F.C.
05 Sept
Antigua
2 : 1 Aurora F.C.
16 Aug
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 1 Aurora F.C.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guastatoya | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:13 | 25 |
| 2 | Municipal | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:5 | 23 |
| 3 | Antigua | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 21:17 | 21 |
| 4 | Marquense | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13:15 | 19 |
| 5 | Xelaju | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Deportivo Mixco | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 19:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo San Pedro | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 18 |
| 8 | Comunicaciones | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 9 | Coban Imperial | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:18 | 13 |
| 10 | Aurora F.C. | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 11 | Malacateco | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11:26 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
