Sport Picks

Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023

Guastatoya

1 - 1

Iztapa

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Moran J.

40'

Moran J.

42'

Guerra C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2022/2023 game between Guastatoya and Iztapa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Guastatoya

Draws

Iztapa

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guastatoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Guastatoya carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on Guastatoya taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Guastatoya Clean Sheet 20%

Iztapa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guastatoya	Iztapa
Matches Played	39	30
Wins	14	7
Draws	11	7
Losses	14	16
Goals Scored	0.88	0
Goals Conceded	1.25	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Liga Nacional

Guastatoya vs Iztapa

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Feb 26, 2023 Liga Nacional

Iztapa vs Guastatoya

Possession: 42% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Nov 20, 2022 Liga Nacional

Iztapa vs Guastatoya

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 4 - 3

0:1

Sep 11, 2022 Liga Nacional

Guastatoya vs Iztapa

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 2 - 0

3:0

Mar 13, 2022 Liga Nacional

Iztapa vs Guastatoya

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 0 - 3

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guastatoya Compare

Top Goalscorer Moran J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Iztapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Albizures C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guastatoya 85 / 100

Iztapa 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guastatoya Iztapa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iztapa has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Guastatoya scored in 72% of their last 39 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Iztapa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guastatoya VS -

0.88 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comunicaciones	22	12	9	1	37:16	45
2	Municipal	22	13	4	5	44:21	43
3	Xelaju	22	12	7	3	31:9	43
4	Xinabajul	22	8	7	7	27:29	31
5	Guastatoya	22	7	8	7	28:22	29
6	Deportivo Mixco	22	7	8	7	23:24	29
7	Antigua	22	8	5	9	33:37	29
8	Deportivo Achuapa	22	7	5	10	24:44	26
9	Coban Imperial	22	6	7	9	16:17	25
10	Iztapa	22	5	5	12	30:49	20
11	Malacateco	22	4	7	11	24:33	19
12	Santa Lucia	22	5	4	13	14:30	19