Sport Picks
Guastatoya vs Iztapa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Guatemala
Liga Nacional 2022/2023 
Match Events
38'
38'
Moran J.
40'
40'
Moran J.
42'
42'
Guerra C.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Nacional 2022/2023 game between Guastatoya and Iztapa finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guastatoya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Guastatoya carry the better recent record into this one.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Guastatoya taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Guastatoya Clean Sheet 20%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guastatoya | Iztapa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 23, 2023 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Iztapa
1:1
Feb 26, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Guastatoya
1:1
Nov 20, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Guastatoya
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Iztapa
3:0
Mar 13, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Guastatoya
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guastatoya Compare
Top Goalscorer Moran J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Iztapa Compare
Top Goalscorer Albizures C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guastatoya 85 / 100
Iztapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guastatoya Iztapa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guastatoya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Iztapa has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Guastatoya went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Guastatoya scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Guastatoya VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Guastatoya
(Home) 04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1 Aurora F.C.
26 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1 Deportivo San Pedro
19 Sept
Comunicaciones
1 : 2 Guastatoya
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1 Xelaju
10 Sept
Suchitepequez
1 : 1 Guastatoya
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1 Aurora F.C.
26 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1 Deportivo San Pedro
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1 Xelaju
29 Aug
Guastatoya
1 : 2 Marquense
15 Aug
Guastatoya
1 : 0 Municipal
Page 1 of 3
Iztapa
(Away) 07 May
Deportivo Achuapa
5 : 3 Iztapa
03 May
Municipal
4 : 0 Iztapa
30 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 0 Santa Lucia
23 Apr
Guastatoya
1 : 1 Iztapa
19 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 5 Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Deportivo Achuapa
5 : 3 Iztapa
03 May
Municipal
4 : 0 Iztapa
23 Apr
Guastatoya
1 : 1 Iztapa
16 Apr
Antigua
5 : 2 Iztapa
05 Apr
Malacateco
1 : 0 Iztapa
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comunicaciones | 22 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 37:16 | 45 |
| 2 | Municipal | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 44:21 | 43 |
| 3 | Xelaju | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 31:9 | 43 |
| 4 | Xinabajul | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 27:29 | 31 |
| 5 | Guastatoya | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 28:22 | 29 |
| 6 | Deportivo Mixco | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:24 | 29 |
| 7 | Antigua | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 33:37 | 29 |
| 8 | Deportivo Achuapa | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:44 | 26 |
| 9 | Coban Imperial | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 16:17 | 25 |
| 10 | Iztapa | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 30:49 | 20 |
| 11 | Malacateco | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 24:33 | 19 |
| 12 | Santa Lucia | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14:30 | 19 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)
