Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guastatoya vs Municipal

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio David Cordón Hichos, Guastatoya
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Aguilar C. In: Morales J.
Out: Aguilar C.
46'
Sub
Mendez J. In: Archila C.
Out: Mendez J.
46'
Sub
Armas V. In: Garrido S.
Out: Armas V.

AI Match Summary

Guastatoya in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guastatoya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Guastatoya
30%
Draws
32%
Municipal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guastatoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Municipal have won more games recently than Guastatoya.
  • Model gives Guastatoya a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Guastatoya Clean Sheet 20%
Municipal Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guastatoya Municipal
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 19
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.41 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Municipal
1:0
May 3, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Guastatoya
2:0
May 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Municipal
0:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Municipal
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Guastatoya
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guastatoya Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemus B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Municipal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guastatoya 42 / 100
Municipal 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guastatoya Municipal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Guastatoya remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Guastatoya scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Municipal has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guastatoya VS Municipal
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guastatoya

(Home)
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
26 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Deportivo San Pedro
19 Sept
Comunicaciones
1 : 2
Guastatoya
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
10 Sept
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Guastatoya
Page 1 of 6

Municipal

(Away)
25 Sept
Municipal
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
06 Sept
Municipal
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
30 Aug
Comunicaciones
0 : 1
Municipal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
3 Antigua 11 7 0 4 21:17 21
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 12 5 3 4 24:14 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
9 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
10 Aurora F.C. 12 4 0 8 17:21 12
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)