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Guastatoya vs Suchitepequez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio David Cordón Hichos, Guastatoya
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Monterroso Porras A. G.
5'
Avalos V.
15' Event
Sequen M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Guastatoya and Suchitepequez finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guastatoya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Guastatoya
30%
Draws
31%
Suchitepequez
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guastatoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guastatoya come out ahead of Suchitepequez on wins alone.
  • Model gives Guastatoya a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Guastatoya Clean Sheet 68%
Suchitepequez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guastatoya Suchitepequez
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.32 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Suchitepequez
4:0
Sep 10, 2026 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Guastatoya
1:1
Apr 13, 2018 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Guastatoya
2:0
Feb 14, 2018 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Suchitepequez
1:2
Nov 15, 2017 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Suchitepequez
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guastatoya Compare

Top Goalscorer Almanza J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sequen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Suchitepequez Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guastatoya 86 / 100
Suchitepequez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guastatoya Suchitepequez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guastatoya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suchitepequez has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Guastatoya scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Guastatoya stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guastatoya VS Suchitepequez
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guastatoya

(Home)
07 Nov
Guastatoya
4 : 0
Suchitepequez
02 Nov
Guastatoya
1 : 2
Coban Imperial
30 Oct
Marquense
0 : 0
Guastatoya
25 Oct
Guastatoya
1 : 3
Deportivo Mixco
19 Oct
Municipal
1 : 1
Guastatoya
Page 1 of 7

Suchitepequez

(Away)
07 Nov
Guastatoya
4 : 0
Suchitepequez
03 Nov
Suchitepequez
1 : 0
Malacateco
28 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
25 Oct
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Aurora F.C.
19 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 19 12 2 5 33:21 38
2 Deportivo Mixco 20 10 4 6 33:27 34
3 Xelaju 19 9 4 6 31:20 31
4 Guastatoya 19 9 4 6 27:22 31
5 Municipal 18 8 6 4 23:13 30
6 Deportivo San Pedro 19 7 5 7 22:22 26
7 Aurora F.C. 19 8 1 10 28:29 25
8 Coban Imperial 19 7 4 8 26:28 25
9 Marquense 19 7 4 8 18:25 25
10 Comunicaciones 19 7 2 10 24:28 23
11 Malacateco 19 5 4 10 18:28 19
12 Suchitepequez 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)