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Guatemala U17 vs USA U17

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U17
Guatemala U17 Logo

Guatemala U17

3 - 5
FT
USA U17 Logo

USA U17

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Romero B.
Assist: Vazquez D.
11'
Sub
Ellington E. In: Aguilar C.
Out: Ellington E.
28' Event
Figueroa K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-5. The second leg ended 3-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Guatemala U17
15%
Draws
37%
USA U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guatemala U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USA U17 come out ahead of Guatemala U17 on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Guatemala U17 taking it.
  • USA U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor USA U17, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • USA U17 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Guatemala U17 Clean Sheet 17%
USA U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guatemala U17 USA U17
Matches Played 29 38
Wins 10 25
Draws 3 1
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.76 2.97
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2023 CONCACAF Championship U17
Guatemala U17 vs USA U17
3:5
May 6, 2019 CONCACAF Championship U17
Guatemala U17 vs USA U17
0:3
Mar 5, 2015 CONCACAF Championship U17
Guatemala U17 vs USA U17
1:4
Apr 11, 2013 CONCACAF Championship U17
USA U17 vs Guatemala U17
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guatemala U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aguilar C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

USA U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Figueroa K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Romero B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guatemala U17 36 / 100
USA U17 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guatemala U17 USA U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Guatemala U17 scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Guatemala U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: USA U17 conceded in 55% of 38 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Guatemala U17 VS USA U17
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guatemala U17

(Home)
11 Feb
Haiti U17
2 : 1
Guatemala U17
08 Feb
Grenada U17
0 : 7
Guatemala U17
06 Feb
Guatemala U17
2 : 0
Antigua and Barbuda U17
17 Feb
Haiti U17
2 : 0
Guatemala U17
14 Feb
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U17
0 : 5
Guatemala U17
Page 1 of 6

USA U17

(Away)
10 Jun
Brazil U17
1 : 0
USA U17
07 Jun
Brazil U17
4 : 0
USA U17
10 Feb
USA U17
1 : 1
Dominican Republic U17
08 Feb
Saint Kitts and Nevis U17
0 : 10
USA U17
05 Feb
USA U17
8 : 0
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U17
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mexico U17 6
Nicaragua U17 0
El Salvador U17 3
Trinidad & Tobago U17 2
Panama U17 2
Cuba U17 0
Honduras U17 6
Bermuda U17 0
Costa Rica U17 1
Puerto Rico U17 2
Canada U17 3
Haiti U17 0
Jamaica U17 1
Guatemala U17 2
USA U17 7
Dominican Republic U17 0
Quarter-finals
Mexico U17 3
El Salvador U17 0
Panama U17 2
Honduras U17 1
Puerto Rico U17 0
Canada U17 3
Guatemala U17 3
USA U17 5
Semi-finals
Mexico U17 5
Panama U17 0
Canada U17 0
USA U17 2
Final
Mexico U17 3
USA U17 1