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Guatemala U18 vs Ecuador U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2024
Mon, Apr 22, 2024
3 - 2
01:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
45' Event
Sagastume S.
60' Event

AI Match Summary

Guatemala U18 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guatemala U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Guatemala U18
15%
Draws
28%
Ecuador U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guatemala U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guatemala U18 lately — more wins on the board than Ecuador U18.
  • Guatemala U18 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 86.6%
Guatemala U18 Clean Sheet 14%
Ecuador U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guatemala U18 Ecuador U18
Matches Played 4 4
Wins 2 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 2.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2024 Friendly International
Guatemala U18 vs Ecuador U18
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guatemala U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagastume S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Escobar O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ecuador U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guatemala U18 57 / 100
Ecuador U18 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guatemala U18 Ecuador U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guatemala U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guatemala U18's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Ecuador U18 let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Ecuador U18 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guatemala U18 VS Ecuador U18
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guatemala U18

(Home)
30 Apr
Saudi Arabia U18
2 : 4
Guatemala U18
27 Apr
Slovakia U18
2 : 1
Guatemala U18
24 Apr
Morocco U18
2 : 1
Guatemala U18
22 Apr
Guatemala U18
3 : 2
Ecuador U18

Ecuador U18

(Away)
30 Apr
Jamaica U18
2 : 1
Ecuador U18
27 Apr
Morocco U18
1 : 2
Ecuador U18
24 Apr
Ecuador U18
0 : 2
Slovakia U18
22 Apr
Guatemala U18
3 : 2
Ecuador U18