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Guatemala U20 vs Aruba U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Nedd E.
18' Event
Ordonez A.
54' Event
Juarez A.

AI Match Summary

Guatemala U20 in this CONCACAF Championship U20 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guatemala U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Guatemala U20
30%
Draws
47%
Aruba U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aruba U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Guatemala U20 have won more games recently than Aruba U20.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Guatemala U20 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CONCACAF Championship U20 2022 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Guatemala U20 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Guatemala U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Aruba U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guatemala U20 Aruba U20
Matches Played 38 21
Wins 20 4
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.82 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2024 CONCACAF Championship U20
Guatemala U20 vs Aruba U20
5:0
Jun 23, 2022 CONCACAF Championship U20
Guatemala U20 vs Aruba U20
2:1
Jan 18, 2015 CONCACAF Championship U20
Guatemala U20 vs Aruba U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guatemala U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ordonez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Juarez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Aruba U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nedd E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guatemala U20 42 / 100
Aruba U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guatemala U20 Aruba U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Guatemala U20 found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (38 games).

Aruba U20 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 21 outings.

Guatemala U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guatemala U20 VS Aruba U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.29
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.14
63% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Guatemala U20

(Home)
05 Aug
USA U20
3 : 1
Guatemala U20
31 Jul
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Guatemala U20
27 Jul
Antigua and Barbuda U20
0 : 4
Guatemala U20
24 Jul
Guatemala U20
0 : 1
Costa Rica U20
28 Jun
El Salvador U20
1 : 1
Guatemala U20
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Aruba U20

(Away)
04 Mar
Martinique U20
0 : 0
Aruba U20
03 Mar
Aruba U20
0 : 2
Canada U20
28 Feb
Aruba U20
2 : 0
United States Virgin Islands U20
25 Feb
Nicaragua U20
0 : 2
Aruba U20
02 Mar
Aruba U20
1 : 1
Barbados U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U20 3 2 1 0 15:2 7
2 Cuba U20 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Canada U20 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
4 Saint Kitts and Nevis U20 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U20 3 2 1 0 13:0 7
2 Haiti U20 3 1 2 0 7:4 5
3 Trinidad & Tobago U20 3 1 1 1 7:9 4
4 Suriname U20 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador U20 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Guatemala U20 3 2 0 1 6:7 6
3 Panama U20 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
4 Aruba U20 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras U20 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Costa Rica U20 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
3 Jamaica U20 3 1 1 1 3:6 4
4 Antigua and Barbuda U20 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2022 (Play Offs)