Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guatemala vs Martinique - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Estadio Doroteo Guamuch Flores, Guatemala City
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rubin R.
Assist: Santis O.
28'
Herrera A.
51' Event
Appin K.
Assist: Renel S.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between Guatemala and Martinique finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guatemala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Guatemala
20%
Draws
29%
Martinique
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guatemala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guatemala come out ahead of Martinique on wins alone.
  • Guatemala are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Guatemala Clean Sheet 68%
Martinique Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guatemala Martinique
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Guatemala vs Martinique
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guatemala Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubin R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Martinique Compare

Top Goalscorer Appin K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guatemala 86 / 100
Martinique 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guatemala Martinique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guatemala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Guatemala scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Martinique conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Guatemala remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guatemala VS Martinique
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guatemala

(Home)
06 Oct
Guatemala
1 : 0
Suriname
02 Oct
Suriname
0 : 0
Guatemala
29 Sept
Guatemala
6 : 0
El Salvador
26 Sept
Jamaica
3 : 2
Guatemala
07 Jun
Ecuador
3 : 0
Guatemala
Page 1 of 6

Martinique

(Away)
05 Oct
Martinique
1 : 1
El Salvador
03 Oct
Martinique
2 : 1
Honduras
28 Sept
Suriname
2 : 1
Martinique
26 Sept
El Salvador
3 : 1
Martinique
29 Mar
Martinique
0 : 1
El Salvador
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
2 Suriname 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
3 Guatemala 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
4 Martinique 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
5 Guadeloupe 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
6 Guyana 4 0 1 3 5:13 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
2 Honduras 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
3 Nicaragua 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
4 Trinidad & Tobago 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
5 Cuba 4 0 3 1 4:6 3
6 French Guiana 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)