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Guatemala W vs Honduras W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024 Estadio Cementos Progreso, Guatemala City
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Rosales Y.
42' Event
Larissa Mariso A. F.
82' Event
Sanchez J.

AI Match Summary

Honduras W in this Friendly International Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Honduras W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Guatemala W
15%
Draws
37%
Honduras W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guatemala W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Honduras W haven't matched Guatemala W's recent run of results.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Guatemala W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Guatemala W Clean Sheet 68%
Honduras W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guatemala W Honduras W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 2.31 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2024 Friendly International Women
Guatemala W vs Honduras W
1:3
Nov 25, 2024 Friendly International Women
Guatemala W vs Honduras W
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Friendly International Women
Honduras W vs Guatemala W
1:3
Oct 24, 2024 Friendly International Women
Honduras W vs Guatemala W
1:1
Aug 13, 2023 Friendly International Women
Guatemala W vs Honduras W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guatemala W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosales Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Honduras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Larissa Mariso A. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guatemala W 95 / 100
Honduras W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guatemala W Honduras W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guatemala W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guatemala W scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Honduras W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Guatemala W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guatemala W VS Honduras W
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guatemala W

(Home)
09 Jun
Guatemala W
1 : 5
El Salvador W
19 Apr
Costa Rica W
3 : 0
Guatemala W
07 Mar
Cayman Islands W
0 : 13
Guatemala W
01 Mar
Guatemala W
6 : 0
Grenada W
02 Dec
Guatemala W
4 : 1
Bermuda W
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Honduras W

(Away)
18 Apr
Honduras W
4 : 0
Barbados W
05 Mar
Honduras W
2 : 2
Trinidad & Tobago W
03 Dec
El Salvador W
3 : 0
Honduras W
01 Jun
Honduras W
1 : 0
Dominican Republic W
29 May
Honduras W
2 : 4
Dominican Republic W
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