Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guayaquil City vs Independiente del Valle

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Diaz D.
8' Event
Pata E.
Assist: Rodriguez A.
38' Event
Gonzalez C.
Assist: Loor L.

AI Match Summary

Independiente del Valle in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente del Valle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Guayaquil City
6%
Draws
90%
Independiente del Valle
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independiente del Valle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Independiente del Valle lately — more wins on the board than Guayaquil City.
  • Win probability leans Independiente del Valle's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Independiente del Valle have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 10%
Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guayaquil City Independiente del Valle
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 9 23
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Independiente del Valle
2:4
Feb 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City
2:0
Sep 24, 2024 Copa Ecuador
Guayaquil City vs Independiente del Valle
1:2
Oct 22, 2023 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Independiente del Valle
0:2
May 14, 2023 Liga Pro
Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guayaquil City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mero E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Independiente del Valle Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pata E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guayaquil City 10 / 100
Independiente del Valle 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guayaquil City Independiente del Valle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Guayaquil City scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Independiente del Valle conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Guayaquil City remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guayaquil City VS Independiente del Valle
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle17131336:1840
2Barcelona SC1785420:1329
3Aucas1785420:1629
4LDU Quito1783619:1427
5Dep. Cuenca1783618:1927
6U. Catolica1875628:1826
7Macara1875618:1826
8Tecnico U.1872919:1923
9Leones del Norte1865719:1923
10Emelec1765614:1723
11Orense1764722:2422
12Mushuc Runa1756622:2321
13Guayaquil City1754814:2019
14Delfin174589:1617
15Libertad1745817:2517
16Manta1733117:2312