Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guayaquil City vs Emelec

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador 2025 Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt
Wed, Oct 22, 2025
0 - 1
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Quintero S.
36'
Solis M.
60'
Sub
Ayovi J. In: Cueva C.
Out: Ayovi J.

AI Match Summary

Guayaquil City host Emelec in the Copa Ecuador 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Emelec have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Guayaquil City have conceded 1.63 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, Guayaquil City have won 1 to Emelec's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 0.76 vs 1.13, favoring Guayaquil City. Guayaquil City in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Guayaquil City
33%
Draws
40%
Emelec
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Emelec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Guayaquil City demonstrates higher offensive output (0.88 avg goals) than Emelec (0.63 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Emelec.
  • Cup tournament structure in Copa Ecuador 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 21%
Emelec Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guayaquil City Emelec
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Guayaquil City
1:3
Oct 22, 2025 Copa Ecuador
Guayaquil City vs Emelec
0:1
Nov 4, 2023 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Emelec
0:0
May 30, 2023 Liga Pro
Emelec vs Guayaquil City
0:0
Feb 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Emelec vs Guayaquil City
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guayaquil City 29 / 100
Emelec 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guayaquil City Emelec

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guayaquil City scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Emelec let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Guayaquil City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Emelec lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guayaquil City VS Emelec
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Club Deportivo Ibarra0
San Antonio1
Manta-
TBD-
Liga De Macas2
Olmedo3
LDU Quito-
TBD-
Ecuagenera2
Cumbaya1
Aucas-
TBD-
Banos3
Huaquillas FC2
Dep. Cuenca-
TBD-
Luz Valdivia1
Dep. Santo Domingo2
Delfin-
TBD-
CD San Camilo0
Guayaquil City1
Mushuc Runa-
TBD-
Leones del Norte4
Sembrando Buenos Campeones0
Orense-
TBD-
CD Miguel Iturralde2
Patria1
Emelec-
TBD-
Gualaceo2
Mineros0
Vinotinto-
TBD-
La Troncal FC1
Imbabura2
Independiente del Valle-
TBD-
Independiente Juniors1
LDU Portoviejo2
Macara-
TBD-
Rio Aguarico2
Club Sportivo Loja1
U. Catolica-
TBD-
Atletico Vinotinto2
CD Cuenca Juniors3
Barcelona SC-
TBD-
La Cantera4
Montufar Futbol Club1
Libertad-
TBD-
Club Deportivo Panamericana0
Nueve de Octubre1
Tecnico U.-
TBD-
Deportivo Coca0
22 de Julio3
EL Nacional-
TBD-
1/16-finals
San Antonio1
Manta0
Olmedo1
LDU Quito2
Ecuagenera0
Aucas1
Banos0
Dep. Cuenca2
Dep. Santo Domingo3
Delfin2
Guayaquil City3
Mushuc Runa1
Leones del Norte1
Orense0
CD Miguel Iturralde1
Emelec2
Gualaceo2
Vinotinto1
Imbabura0
Independiente del Valle1
LDU Portoviejo1
Macara0
Rio Aguarico0
U. Catolica1
CD Cuenca Juniors2
Barcelona SC0
La Cantera1
Libertad0
Nueve de Octubre1
Tecnico U.0
22 de Julio0
EL Nacional3
1/8-finals
San Antonio0
LDU Quito4
Aucas1
Dep. Cuenca2
Dep. Santo Domingo2
Guayaquil City3
Leones del Norte0
Emelec1
Gualaceo0
Independiente del Valle6
LDU Portoviejo1
U. Catolica3
CD Cuenca Juniors6
La Cantera1
Nueve de Octubre2
EL Nacional1
Quarter-finals
LDU Quito2
Dep. Cuenca0
Guayaquil City0
Emelec1
Independiente del Valle1
U. Catolica2
CD Cuenca Juniors2
Nueve de Octubre1
Semi-finals
LDU Quito3
Emelec2
U. Catolica4
CD Cuenca Juniors1
Final
LDU Quito2
U. Catolica3